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Subway Fresh Fit 500 odds - Johnson looks to continue dominance at Phoenix

Posted by Lee-Roy Buckles on 4/25/2012 11:10:25 AM
Subway Fresh Fit 500 odds

NASCAR Phoenix odds
Jimmie Johnson +325
Denny Hamlin +550
Jeff Gordon +550
Kyle Busch +685
Carl Edwards +885
Tony Stewart +1150
Kurt Busch +1300
Mark Martin +1400
Matt Kenseth +1400
Greg Biffle +1500

Subway Fresh Fit 500 odds: Mark Martin is gaining momentum

  • WHAT: The Subway Fresh Fit 500
  • WHEN: Saturday, April 18 at 8:30 PM ET
  • WHERE: Phoenix International Raceway in Avondale, AZ
  • KEY STATS: Jimmie Johnson has won three straight races at this track
  • PICK: Mark Martin

Jimmie Johnson should be the favorite on Subway Fresh Fit 500 odds on Saturday night. The race heads to the desert this week and Johnson is certainly a big threat in Arizona; he’s had three consecutive top-three finishes over the past few weeks, so expect him to be in the running.

Mark Martin, however, also looks to be a threat at Phoenix International Raceway and on sports betting lines.

Johnson won this race last year, and he’s won the last two fall races at Phoenix, making his 5.5 finishing average and three wins in 11 Phoenix races the best among active drivers. The No. 48 car was closing in on teammate Jeff Gordon at Texas but it ran out of laps. Still, the team is far ahead of where it was last year at this point, which is scary for the rest of the series.

RCR drivers Jeff Burton and Kevin Harvick each have a pair of wins at Phoenix, and both are in the Top-10 of active drivers in terms of overall finishing average. Burton has five straight Top-15 finishes, but Harvick struggled badly at Bristol and Texas. Don’t count out teammate Clint Bowyer, who has two Top-10s in four Phoenix races and finished second to Johnson in last year’s race.

Johnson’s Hendrick teammates, Jeff Gordon, Mark Martin and Dale Earnhardt Jr. have all fared well at Phoenix in the past, as Gordon and Martin are in the Top-5 for finishing average. Earnhardt Jr.’s finishing average is hurt with three DNFs, but he does have a pair of wins. The No. 88 team needs a good performance as bad as anyone in NASCAR, as “Junior” is slowly falling out of the race for the Chase. He finished seventh in the Phoenix spring race last year.

JGR drivers will definitely be among the NASCAR betting favorites, as Denny Hamlin’s 11.0 average in seven races in fifth among active drivers; he’s racked up four consecutive Top-15s, including a pair of runner-up finishes on the short tracks at Bristol and Martinsville. Phoenix is only a mile-long track with not much banking, but you can still carry a bit of speed so this should be right up Hamlin’s alley. He finished third in this race in 2008.

And of course, you can never forget about Kyle Busch, who won the 2005 fall race and has six Top-10s in eight trips to Phoenix.

Statistically, Phoenix is only second to Martinsville in terms of Johnson’s best tracks, so he obviously will have a lot of support heading into this race. Chevrolets have also won nine of the last 10 races in Phoenix, including seven in a row, so it’s pretty safe to say that there will be a Chevy in Victory Lane on Sunday. Johnson will run up front, and Gordon will be buoyed by his win at Texas, but this week’s winner will be Mark Martin.

LEE-ROY’S PICK: The 50-year-old Martin has three straight Top-10s after a horrible start to his Hendrick career, and his 11.0 average in 12 Phoenix races is fourth among active drivers. Hendrick has won four in a row in Phoenix and are looking to make it five, so bet on Mark Martin with your NASCAR picks.

For Subway Fresh Fit 500 odds or other NASCAR betting, bookmark the betonline.com Sportsbook.

Born in the betting capital of Las Vegas, Lee-Roy has grown to appreciate the likes of IndyCar and Formula 1 racing, but his first love is the high-speed ovals of NASCAR and he is a HUGE Tony Stewart fan. When it comes to motorsports handicapping, Buckles takes the checkered flag. Thoughts or questions?


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