Astros vs Twins Odds – Twins heating up as Astros visit
Astros Twins odds: Twins looking to gain ground in Central
- Roy Oswalt finally regaining his form in June
- Scott Baker has been hot in his last three starts
- Perkins a much more reliable pitcher at home
Astros Twins odds: Roy Oswalt (3-3, 4.37 ERA) vs Kevin Slowey (9-2, 4.23 ERA)
Roy Oswalt, who has struggled throughout stretches of the season, has somewhat regained his form this month. After going through a stretch of five starts where Oswalt gave up at least three earned runs per outing, he has finally calmed down and allowed just eight in 20 innings pitched this month.
The Astros Twins odds still favor the Twins heavily in the sportsbook lines, though, given how well Kevin Slowey plays at home. He’s 7-0 at home and he’s received great run support. Opposing batters are still hitting .314 against him at home, but he has yet to lose at the Metrodome.
Astros Twins odds: Brian Moehler (3-4, 6.66 ERA) vs Scott Baker (4-6, 5.30 ERA)
Saturday’s pitching duel might seem like a mismatch but the Astros actually have a slight edge. Brian Moehler, is 0-1 with a 9.13 ERA at home, is 3-1 with a 4.61 ERA on the road. That’s good news for the Astros, but they’ll be facing a pitcher who has misleading stats.
Scott Baker is just 4-6 on the year with a lofty 5.30 ERA, but he’s been much better in June. So far this month, Baker has allowed just seven earned runs in 22 innings pitched (2.86 ERA) while winning two of the three starts. Look for the Twins to ride his hot pitching to a win.
Astros Twins odds: Wandy Rodriguez (5-6, 3.33 ERA) vs Glen Perkins (2-3, 5.09 ERA)
The baseball betting odds will favor the Twins in Sunday’s matchup, mostly because of the home-away splits between these pitchers. On paper, the Astros Twins odds should be even given the two starters’ cumulative stats, but those can’t be trusted in this matchup.
Wandy Rodriguez, who typically has a huge disparity between his splits, is 3-2 with a 2.15 ERA at Minute Maid Park and just 2-4 with a 4.78 ERA when he’s away from it. Meanwhile, Glen Perkins is 2-1 with a 3.48 ERA at home and 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA on the road. You do the math.
Dale Lalonde’s pick: Twins to win the series
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Before his arm flamed out, Dale “Skip” Lalonde was famous for his high-90s heat and power at the plate. He retired young but never turned his back on baseball, earning the nickname “Skip” for his high-school coaching prowess. A true student of the game, he loves crunching the numbers when he handicaps baseball.