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Mets vs Phillies Odds - Mets are hurting, Phillies are peaking

Posted by Dale "Skip" Lalonde on 8/25/2009 6:59:41 AM
Mets Phillies oddsWith the Mets vs Phillies odds arriving on the MLB betting scene, we’ve finally reached the point of the season where big rivalry games mean something. The defending World Series Champion Phillies stumbled out of the gate but they’ve surged to the top of the NL East. The Mets are battling hard - they’re currently three games back of the Phillies - but they’re also battling major injury concerns. Can the Mets overcome adversity at home?

Mets vs Phillies odds: Chance for Phillies to open up huge gap in the standings

  • Surprising J.A. Happ is a road warrior for Philadelphia
  • Hamels should breeze through banged up Mets lineup
  • Mets should fine their offensive touch against Jamie Moyer

Tuesday, June 9, 7:10 p.m. ET
J.A. Happ (4-0, 2.48) vs Johan Santana (7-3, 2.00)

Who on Earth is J.A. Happ? The lanky lefty entered this season as a relative unknown but quietly has been as good as any Phillies starter in his limited duty this season. He and the Phillies will be a big sportsbook long shot against mighty Johan Santana Tuesday night, but Happ may give those who bet on sports a nice upset opportunity. Not only has Happ already beaten the Mets (not to mention the Yankees) this season, he has a ridiculous 1.16 ERA and 0.69 ERA on the road. He keeps the ball in the park, with just three longballs allowed in 40 innings, so the Mets’ popgun attack (third-worst in the NL in homers) won’t hurt him.

What about Santana? We all know how amazing he is but, if there’s one knock on him, it’s that he allows too many homers. He’s served up a gopher in four straight starts and he now faces the top power hitting team in the NL. Ryan Howard (.353) and the piping-hot Raul Ibanez (.351) both have Santana’s number, so he may have a rare off night.

MLB betting pick: Bet on the Phillies.

Wednesday, June 10, 7:10 p.m. ET
Cole Hamels (4-2, 4.40) vs Mike Pelfrey (4-2, 4,85)

Well, he’s back. You don’t have to avoid Cole Hamels when betting online anymore. After his complete-game shutout of the first-place Dodgers, Hamels now has allowed three or fewer runs in seven of his last eight starts. It seems the ace’s injury woes are behind him now. While he doesn’t exactly own the Mets in his career (1-3, 3.79), he should be fine on Wednesday. The one Met who absolutely mashes against him, Carlos Delgado, remains sidelined with a hip injury.

Hamels’ counterpart Mike Pelfrey may survive better than some MLB betting fans think in the Mets vs Phillies odds, as his home ERA is about half the size of his road ERA, but Hamels is in top form versus a depleted Mets lineup (Jose Reyes is also out), so you should stick with the champs again here.

MLB betting pick: Bet on the Phillies.

Thursday, June 11, 7:10 p.m. ET
Jamie Moyer (4-5, 6.27) vs Tim Redding (0-2, 6.97)

Finally, some light at the end of the tunnel for the Mets. Tim Redding’s numbers are just awful this season, but he somehow has a good career mark against the Phillies, holding Ryan Howard, Raul Ibanez and Jimmy Rollins below the Mendoza line in 59 total at-bats. The Mets have lit up Moyer, who is showing his age, twice this season and should do it again in the final game of the Mets vs Phillies odds.

MLB betting pick: Bet on the Mets.

For sports betting lines and more Mets vs Phillies odds analysis, read the Betting Edge at BetOnline.com.

Before his arm flamed out, Dale “Skip” Lalonde was famous for his high-90s heat and power at the plate. He retired young but never turned his back on baseball, earning the nickname “Skip” for his high-school coaching prowess. A true student of the game, he loves crunching the numbers when he handicaps baseball. Email Comments@BetOnline.com.


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