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MLB Betting Trends – Hot Rockies are a fluke

Posted by Dale "Skip" Lalonde on 4/24/2012 10:26:13 AM
MLB betting trendsAs online betting handicappers know, MLB betting trends come and go throughout the long baseball season. The Colorado Rockies are the cat’s meow right now, winning a franchise-tying 11 straight games in early June. But the reality is that they are still far from the World Series contender they used to be, and just as the MLB betting trends indicate the Rockies are hot right now, this nice little stretch isn’t much more than a fluke.

MLB betting trends: Rockies hot, but it won’t last long

  • Starting pitching has been the key to the winning streak
  • Switching from Clint Hurdle to Jim Tracy has sparked the hot streak
  • Pitching performances are an aberration from the norm, which is why this team is a fluke

The sportsbook odds makers took some time to adjust to the Rockies. During their 11-game winning streak, they were favored just three times on the moneyline. But the Rockies are not a team that anyone takes seriously. For years, they were always the same team. The MLB trends showed they were one of the better hitting teams in the league and among the worst pitching teams. Then, of course, the pitching clicked for half a season and they rode it all the way into the World Series.

And that’s what has happened for the Rockies once again during this hot streak. The MLB trends indicate that their pitching comes and goes regularly, and for this stretch, the pitching was clearly present. The Rockies have won 13 of their first 17 games since firing manager Clint Hurdle and replacing him with Jim Tracy, but as mentioned, the difference has been pitching. During the club’s 11-game winning streak, the starting pitchers were an incredible 10-0 with 2.50 ERA. That is a wild aberration from how this team pitched earlier this year, last year and throughout most of the franchise’s time in Colorado.

On Tuesday night, their pitching came back down to Earth as their staff allowed a season-high five home runs to the Tampa Bay Rays. MLB betting trends are as fickle as a high-school girlfriend. And since the Rockies don’t have the pedigree of consistent success, they clearly land on the fluky side of this equation.

The good news for the Rockies is that their bats are back. While their pitching has fluctuated, some of their key contributors like Troy Tulowitzki and Todd Helton are finally hitting like most people expected them to. This is still just a team who is 12-15 at Coors Field, where they normally have a decided home field advantage, so the baseball betting trends haven’t evened out quite yet. You can expect them to improve a little bit more before their plays levels off. They typically play above .500 at home.

With the Los Angeles Dodgers in their division, MLB betting experts know that the Rockies won’t be winning the National League West. Their best shot to make a playoff run would be through the wild card, but even after an impressive 11-game winning streak, no one has faith in the Rockies quite yet. They are clearly a fluke.

For more analysis on sports betting lines, check out the betonline.com Betting Edge daily.

Before his arm flamed out, Dale “Skip” Lalonde was famous for his high-90s heat and power at the plate. He retired young but never turned his back on baseball, earning the nickname “Skip” for his high-school coaching prowess. A true student of the game, he loves crunching the numbers when he handicaps baseball.


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