Remember me Username/Password Help


March Madness odds – NCAA Basketball Tournament trends

Posted by Washington Tucker on 4/23/2012 10:39:04 AM
  • March Madness odds: being a high seed doesn't guarantee a great run
  • Still, A No. 1 seed has never lost in the first round
  • If you're No. 8 seed or worse, you likely won't be making the Final Four

64 teams, one tournament, one winner. Sounds fairly straightforward, right? That’s the groundwork for what’s formally known as the NCAA Basketball Tournament but there’s a reason why it’s informally known as March Madness. Breaking down a March Madness money line is quite simply one of the most exciting events in the betting world.

While the tournament does start with 64 teams (65 including the play-in game), it quickly parses down to 16 after the first weekend of action, four after the second weekend and a champion shortly thereafter.

What makes March Madness point spreads so fun to examine and bet on is, as the name suggests, the madness. The teams may be ranked from one to 16 in four different regions, but once two teams step onto a neutral court, all sorts of upsets can happen.

One of the main differences between college basketball and the professional game – or pro sports in general – is the emotion. Sometimes we forget that college athletes are, in fact, college kids. The raw emotion, nerves and jubilation is on display much more so than in pro sports.

Before you start handicapping March Madness totals or spreads, take a look at some of the tournament trends through the history of the NCAA Tournament:

Since the inception of the NCAA Tournament, only once have all four No. 1 seeds made the Final Four; meanwhile, the Championship Final has matched two No. 1 seeds just six times. Being No. 1 doesn't guarantee your March Madness odds of winning—the No. 1 seed has won the tournament just six times and three of those times came in this decade.

On the flip side, you don’t want your team to be ranked too low in the Tournament because history will not be on your side. The lowest seed to reach a National Championship Game is a No. 8 seed (UCLA in 1980 and Villanova in 1985). Villanova won the Tournament as a No. 8 seed.

Beyond that, No. 10 and No. 12 seeds haven’t made it past the Elite Eight, while No. 13 and No. 14 seeds have reached the Sweet Sixteen, but only twice. A No. 16 seed has never defeated a No. 1 seed in the first round and only 11 have come within 10 points, so save your money there.

Here is a breakdown of the percentages of how the first-round usually plays out:

  1. The #1 seed has beaten the #16 seed all 96 times (100%).
  2. The #2 seed has beaten the #15 seed 92 times (96%).
  3. The #3 seed has beaten the #14 seed 81 times (84%).
  4. The #4 seed has beaten the #13 seed 79 times (82%).
  5. The #5 seed has beaten the #12 seed 65 times (67%).
  6. The #6 seed has beaten the #11 seed 66 times (69%).
  7. The #7 seed has beaten the #10 seed 60 times (62%).
  8. The #8 seed has beaten the #9 seed 44 times (46%).

The most successful NCAA Tournament team is the UCLA Bruins, with 11 Championships. They are followed by the Kentucky Wildcats (7), Indiana Hoosiers (5), North Carolina Tar Heels (4) and Duke Blue Devils (3). Eight other teams are tied with two Championships.'s Betting Edge has you covered for all of your March Madness needs. Make sure you check back daily for a wide assortment of March Madness odds analysis, picks and insight into the NCAA Basketball Tournament.

Washington Tucker was practically raised at Rucker Park. Though a freak knee injury cost him a major college basketball scholarship, his “sixth-sense” on the hardwood has translated into a spectacular career in basketball handicapping.

Did you enjoy this article?

Email this to a friend Print it



↑ Back to page content
Media Logos

At BetOnline, our company’s guiding principle is to establish long-lasting, positive relationships with our customers. BetOnline is perfect for those who like to stay on top of all the latest sports & horse racing odds or play a few games in the online casino. We have built our reputation on giving our clients nothing but high-quality service and once you have worked with us, you will realize why we are regarded as a leader.

From our customer service to our cutting-edge technology, enticing contests and dedication to putting the best product out on the marketplace, BetOnline is always striving to improve and we take the wants and needs of our customers very seriously. We are always looking for suggestions to make our product better, and client input allows us to build a relationship that will last for a lifetime.

Trust is tough to create and it is even tougher to maintain, which is why we always keep the lines of communication open with our clients at BetOnline, and the best part is that it will not cost you a dime.

Head over to our world-famous sportsbook, where you will find live lines for all major sporting events, but that is not all because at BetOnline, you will also find the Betting Edge, which is a constant stream of advice from people that spend countless hours looking over trends and statistics, so you don’t have to. You get an honest and educated opinion for people that truly love sports, and we are always updating the section to keep you up on what’s happening in current in the world of sports.

The racebook is another fantastic section at BetOnline, as you can get a headstart on the Triple Crown season by reading over our articles to give you an idea of the winning horses. We don’t just focus on the Triple Crown at BetOnline; you can find information on races all year around and that will help you out when it comes time to watch the major thoroughbred horse races.

You can also check out our casino, where you can play the latest games powered by the latest technology. From poker to card games, slots and everything in between, we have you covered at BetOnline.

We have contests and promotions galore as BetOnline is all about what our clients want, so check it out and if you have any inquiries, never hesitate to get in touch with us. Betonline because your can!

↑ Back to top