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Betting Kentucky Florida - Kentucky Tries To Go Unbeaten In SEC Play

Posted by Washington Tucker on 2/10/2014 4:22:08 AM

The Florida Gators and the Kentucky Wildcats began the year as Final Four contenders. Now, only Kentucky has legitimate aspirations to the title.

Kentucky Wildcats @ Florida Gators @ - Sunday, March 4
Sports betting line: No line

Why Kentucky Will Win

The college basketball betting experts who follow the Southeastern Conference for a living know that Kentucky is the king, and the king hasn’t lost more than one game this season. Kentucky has the best player on the floor, freshman Anthony Davis, a dynamic two-way player who rebounds and blocks shots as regularly as he scores. Davis is very likely going to be a one-and-done player; he will enter the NBA after just one season, and he’ll be the No. 1 pick in the 2012 NBA Draft.

Florida has not been a particularly good rebounding team this season, so Davis should go wild on the glass, as should his teammate, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist. Davis and Kidd-Gilchrist have durable motors, and they pursue plays harder than any other frontline combo in the country. Florida will not have the answer for them in this game. This is especially true – even more so than when the teams met a few weeks ago – because Florida has lost one of its best rebounders and interior defenders, forward Will Yeguete. Kentucky’s big men should feast in the paint, and that’s why the Cats have such a good shot on the road.

Why Florida Will Win

When you do your homework and assess your sports bet on this game, it’s worth mentioning that while Kentucky is on a major-league roll, the Wildcats might be well-served to lose this game. One needs to go back to the 1996 SEC Tournament championship game between Kentucky and Mississippi State. The Wildcats were as powerful then as they are now, and they hadn’t lost in roughly two months. Kentucky coach Rick Pitino didn’t want his team carrying the pressure of a long winning streak into the NCAA Tournament, and he didn’t play his starters as long as he normally does. Kentucky did indeed lose that game to Mississippi State, and it then dominated the field in the process of winning the NCAA Tournament.

This is not to say that current Kentucky coach John Calipari will do the same thing in this game that Pitino did 16 years ago, but it’s worth noting that Kentucky might not hunger for victory at the same level Florida does. The Gators are trying to get the No. 2 seed for the SEC Tournament, and they’ll probably play harder than Kentucky will… at least for 30 minutes. If the Gators can shoot really well from three-point range and maximize runs while minimizing Kentucky’s runs, they have a legitimately good shot in this contest.

Who Will Win

It’s hard enough for Florida to beat Kentucky. Doing it without Will Yeguete’s rebounding and defense will be especially difficult. The Gators might very well win at home, but because they’re shorthanded, one shouldn’t pick against the Wildcats, even on a day when Kentucky has little to lose.

College Basketball Betting Pick: Kentucky


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