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American League East Race Heats Up As Blue Jays Visit Boston

Posted by Dale “Skip” Lalonde on 6/29/2013 1:25:20 AM

This Saturday, the matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox owns a lot more currency and weight than it would have a month ago.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox – Saturday, June 29

Sport betting line: No line

Why Toronto Will Win

When the best online betting sites tackle this clash, they will have reason to lean to the Blue Jays, even though Toronto is not quite in Boston’s class – not yet. The background attached to this game is something that has to be seen through the lens of the starting pitchers involved. The Blue Jays will go with Esmil Rogers, who has rounded into form this season and has been giving manager John Gibbons some valuable innings at the back end of the Jays’ starting rotation behind R.A. Dickey, Mark Buehrle, and other bigger names. Rogers has not been a starter throughout the course of this season, but he has held up well in three starts, giving up no more than four runs in each of his outings. His 3.46 ERA in the American League is reflective of a pitcher who is quite resourceful and has been able to fill the Jays’ needs in different situations. When one realizes that Rogers is going up against Felix Doubront, a pitcher with a 4.33 ERA, it’s certainly reasonable from a betting standpoint to go with the Blue Jays in Boston.

Why Boston Will Win

This is a game in which the betting calculus has shifted over the course of the week. It was initially declared that the Red Sox were going to go with unproven starting pitcher Allen Webster, who got roughed up last Saturday on the road in Detroit. It was always going to be unwise to give a lot of trust to Webster had he taken the mound in this game. However, during the middle of the week, Boston manager John Farrell – the former manager of the Blue Jays, interestingly enough – switched gears and decided that Felix Doubront will be his starting pitcher on Saturday. For anyone who appreciates online poker games, it’s clear that Farrell has shuffled the cards and chosen another dealer in this tilt – how’s that for mixed metaphors? Boston has changed the equation and put forth a starting pitcher who can win this game. Doubront is not tremendously consistent, but he has good stuff and, on one of his better days, can certainly compete at a high level, one that’s enough to support his teammates. Doubront, like so many other Boston pitchers, doesn’t have to flourish in order for his team to win. A quality start in Fenway Park – with no more than three runs allowed – will put Boston in position to win against Esmil Rogers, who is not a dominant starter for Toronto.

Who Will Win

The odds will point to Toronto even though Boston has upgraded its starting pitcher. Boston still has a good chance here, but Toronto has a better one.

MLB Betting Pick: Toronto

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