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Two Hot Pitchers Face Off As Brewers Visit Diamondbacks In Phoenix

Posted by Dale "Skip" Lalonde on 7/14/2013 8:29:42 PM

In the course of a Major League Baseball season, you’re going to find some pretty remarkable developments, and one is found in the statistical profile of Arizona pitcher Randall Delgado.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks – Saturday, July 13
Sport betting line: no line

Why Milwaukee Will Win

When the betting websites tackle this clash, they will view it as a tough one to pick. The two pitchers in this game have been performing as though they’re handing out cards to poker players. Both Kyle Lohse and Randall Delgado, the two starters on Saturday night, have been dealing in recent weeks. Delgado has made only five starts this season, and Lohse has been slowed down by injuries, but both men have done quite well in 2013.

There’s plenty of reason to think that Lohse is going to win this duel in the Desert Southwest. For one thing, he’s a veteran with a lot of experience to call upon, whereas Delgado has made only 31 career appearances. Lohse has stabilized a Milwaukee starting rotation that has been ravaged quite extensively this season. Lohse knows his value to the Brewers, and that is something which has given him a considerable degree of focus over the past month and a half. Lohse has not allowed more than three runs since May 30, a superb accomplishment especially when one realizes that it is mentally challenging to pitch for a poor team, knowing that the playoffs won’t materialize and that run support is not a likely occurrence. It takes a lot of focus and commitment to craft to pitch well for a losing team, but Lohse is (and has been) good enough to do just that. His ERA is at 3.47 after being much higher early in the season. He’s certainly a pitcher worth trusting in this situation.

Why Arizona Will Win

A winning bet will manage to acknowledge the strengths of one team yet elevate the competitive virtues of the other side. Yes, Kyle Lohse is really good at what he does, but so is Delgado, who has made only five starts this season but has turned those starts into gems. Delgado has not allowed more than three runs in any of his five starts in 2013 (he also owns a sixth appearance, made in relief). Since Delgado is not familiar to the Brewers (he did not face them at an earlier point in the 2013 regular season), Milwaukee’s hitters could very well flail – and fail – against him. The Brewers might not get used to Delgado’s arm motion, release point, and other dimensions of technique until the sixth inning, and by then it might be too late for Milwaukee. Arizona has been a better team than Milwaukee all season long, and there’s no overwhelmingly convincing reason to think that the Diamondbacks will suddenly cede the upper hand to the Brewers. Delgado, with his 3.82 (and shrinking) ERA, should be able to get the job done against Lohse.

Who Will Win?

The Diamondbacks hit better than the Brewers (30 more runs scored through July 10), but Lohse is a superb veteran pitcher who knows how to get hitters out. Trust Lohse more than Delgado… and take Milwaukee.

MLB Betting Pick: Milwaukee

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