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Two Solid But Wobbling Pitchers Face Off As Giants Meet Diamondbacks

Posted by Dale “Skip” Lalonde on 6/7/2013 8:57:13 PM

In the course of a Major League Baseball season, you’re going to find a lot of even-steven pitching matchups. Such is the case this Saturday as San Francisco visits Arizona.

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks – Saturday, June 8

Sports betting line: No line

Why San Francisco Will Win

When betting websites size up this game, they won't have to come up with overly complex reasons for a San Francisco victory. The Giants know that Arizona starting pitcher Trevor Cahill, though quite talented, has not fared well the past two weeks. Cahill has given up at least four runs in three of his last four starts. He was much stronger in the first six weeks of the season than he’s been in the final three. He’s regressing instead of moving forward. Cahill has to be concerned about the fact that he walked three batters in his most recent start and has not been able to fully address the control problems that have pockmarked some of his starts in 2013. If Cahill continues to give the Giants free baserunners, San Francisco has the aggressive hitters who can make him pay for such wildness in high-pressure, high-leverage situations.

The other reason to take the Giants here is that starter Madison Bumgarner has a solid ERA of just 3.46. He hasn’t been great lately, but people in and around the Giants know that Bumgarner has delivered the goods so many times for San Francisco over the past three years, coming up big in the 2010 World Series and then helping the team in the 2012 playoffs. Bumgarner can certainly right the ship; he’s had so much practice at recovering from slumps and never gets down on himself even when situations take a bad turn. He can maintain his composure on the road and get the Giants the crucial win they need.

Why Arizona Will win

This is not poker, but the similarity between these two dealers is unmistakable. Arizona starter Trevor Cahill has a 3.27 ERA, a shade lower than Bumgarner’s mark. That’s one reason to give the Diamondbacks a decent shot in this tilt. The other thing to point out is that while Cahill has indeed allowed at least four runs in three of his last four starts, Bumgarner has done the exact same thing. Bumgarner is laboring and trying to find the precision that he once owned. He is entering a bumpy stretch of his season, and since he’s pitching on the road in what is a more hitter-friendly yard than his home ballpark in San Francisco, he might not be all that comfortable.

Sport betting lines should indicate that the Diamondbacks, who just finished an impressive four-game road split with the MLB-best St. Louis Cardinals, will be ready for this game on Friday night in the desert. Bumgarner will have a tall task in front of him.

Who Will Win?

The Giants are proven champions, without question, but the Diamondbacks are playing better right now, and that means more than the fact that Arizona leads San Francisco in the division standings. Take the D-Backs here.

MLB Betting Pick: Arizona

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