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How To Bet On Cardinals Cubs - Cardinals Try To Make Up Ground

Posted by Dale "Skip" Lalonde on 7/23/2012 6:27:53 PM

The St. Louis Cardinals are trailing both the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates in the National League Central. To catch up with them, the Redbirds must beat the Chicago Cubs.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs – Series Overview

Game 1: Friday, July 27

If you are interested in betting on baseball this season, some midsummer games between teams with relatively even pitching matchups will challenge your feel for the sport. Do you really know which way the ball will bounce in this specific confrontation between two in-division rivals? Lance Lynn is the starting pitcher for St. Louis, bringing a 3.10 earned-run average to the mound.

The starter for the Cubs is Matt Garza, toting a 3.91 earned-run average as he prepares for an afternoon of work. Lynn doesn't quite have the reputation that Garza established; Garza has endured the postseason spotlight due to a previous tour of duty with the Tampa Bay Rays. Lynn is not as tested a pitcher, but his results and performances have generally eclipsed Garza over the course of the season to date. Do you go with Lynn's steadiness or do you trust Garza's reputation? The pick here is that Lynn will outduel Garza, giving St. Louis a win in the first installment of this weekend series, which is sure to draw packed crowds to Wrigley Field in Chicago.

MLB Betting Pick: St. Louis

Game 2: Saturday, July 28

The sport betting perspective here is a bit more nuanced than the outward numbers could ever genuinely indicate. Joe Kelly is going to be the starting pitcher for the visiting Cardinals. He brings a 2.75 earned-run average to the pitching rubber, but that number is a product of a small sample. Kelly has registered his statistics in only seven starts since June 10. He has not been a supreme workhorse, something that has kept his arm fresh while limiting his exposure to other teams.

This combination of factors is what has helped him to keep his earned-run average down. Travis Wood is the starter for the Cubs. His ERA is 4.33, but he has pitched in 33 more innings than Kelly this season, just over 72 innings compared to Kelly's total of a fraction over 39. In a late-July game, the heat of summer makes durability a factor. At this point in time, you should value Wood's endurance over Kelly's somewhat hollow numbers. Go with the Cubs.

MLB Betting Pick: Chicago Cubs

Game 3: Sunday, July 29

In the finale of this series, the Cardinals will send right-handed starter Adam Wainwright to the bump. Wainwright has posted a 4.42 earned-run average, which is not terrible, but certainly not at the level he established before a major injury that sidelined him for the 2011 season. Jeff Samardzija is the starter for the Cubs, bringing a 4.57 ERA to the ballyard on a Sunday afternoon. The pitching matchup is even, but St. Louis has the better bats. Take the Cardinals as these teams part ways until later in the year. The latest sportsbook odds for Major League Baseball would not contradict this basic recommendation.

MLB Betting Pick: St. Louis

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