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As First-Place Diamondbacks Host The Rockies, Questions Abound

Posted by Dale "Skip" Lalonde on 7/4/2013 8:27:24 PM

In the course of a Major League Baseball season, you’re going to find some difficult games to pick, and this Friday’s clash between two National League West rivals fits the bill.

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks – Friday, July 5
Sport betting line: no line

Why Colorado Will Win

When the best online betting sites tackle this clash, they will view it as a tough one to pick. The Arizona Diamondbacks are leading the pack in the National League West, but then again, the D-Backs are in first place only because everyone else in the division is under the .500 mark. Arizona entered play on July 4 with a 43-41 record. Yet, that’s good enough for first place because Colorado, the second-place team in the division, is second with a 41-44 mark. This division is up for grabs, and Arizona’s identity as the first-place team means essentially nothing at this point. The Diamondbacks have not set themselves apart in any meaningful or impressive sense. Colorado and Arizona should be seen as two teams that stand on relatively even terms.

The pitching matchup is probably going to lean to Colorado on Friday. Jorge De La Rosa is the scheduled starter for the Rockies. He owns a snappy 3.09 ERA and therefore demands a certain amount of respect from any prospective bettor who wants to put down some money on this contest. One also has to say that Arizona manager Kirk Gibson has not yet decided on a starter at this late date. His starting rotation is in flux and needs someone to step up at the last minute. The uncertainty pervading the Diamondbacks’ rotation is just as good a reason to pick Colorado as is the quality of De La Rosa. In fact, Arizona’s lack of an announced starter just might be the more convincing reason to go with the Rockies here.

Why Arizona Will win

This is not poker, but the way De La Rosa has been dealing this season – while undeniably impressive – is not as spectacular as you might first think. De La Rosa has happened to face bad hitting teams in the course of the season. His four-day breaks between starts have enabled him to face the right opponents. De La Rosa’s last seven starts have come against Houston, a terrible offensive team; the Los Angeles Dodgers, a below-average offensive team; the San Diego Padres, a team with an offense that’s almost as bad as the Dodgers’ attack; the impotent Washington Nationals, the second-worst offensive team in the National League (ahead of only Miami); Toronto, the last-place team in the American League East; Washington again; and a San Francisco team that has scored an average of roughly two runs per game over the past two weeks. Arizona is likely to attack De La Rosa on Friday and display a level of plate discipline that will make it harder for De La Rosa to feel comfortable on the mound.

Who Will Win?

The odds say that Arizona’s lack of an announced starter is going to matter in this game. The Diamondbacks’ starting rotation has become more of a weakness in recent weeks. Expect Colorado to exploit that weakness and win.

MLB Betting Pick: Colorado



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