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Twins vs Yankees Odds - Yanks will turn Twins' Cinderella story into a pumpkin

Posted by Dale "Skip" Lalonde on 10/7/2009 11:21:55 AM
MLB oddsThe Twins vs Yankees odds are already set to debut tonight, just hours after the Twins won a 12-inning marathon. As if playing the Yankees wasn’t difficult enough for their sportsbook hopes, the Twins begin the American League Division Series after using eight pitchers last night. Can they rally and upset the Yanks in a short series?

Twins vs Yankees Odds: Yankees have better hitting, better pitching, better team

  • WHAT: MLB playoff betting
  • WHEN: Game 1 of best-of-five series is tonight at 6:07 p.m. ET
  • KEY STAT: Yankees were 7-0 against the Twins this season
  • PICK: Yankees in four

Twins vs Yankees odds maker breakdown: Hitting lineup
The Twins’ hitters deserve a bit more respect, as they’re more than just Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau. They had four guys with 25-plus homers and 90-plus RBI – but there’s no messing with the Yankees’ legendary lineup. The Bronx Bombers have high-impact players from No. 1 through No. 9. Derek Jeter, Johnny Damon and Robinson Cano get on base and score a ton; Alex Rodriguez and Mark Teixeira do the heavy power lifting; Jorge Posada, Hideki Matsui and Nick Swisher provide underrated veteran pop. This lineup is frightening.

Betting Edge: Yankees

Twins vs Yankees odds maker breakdown: Starting pitching
For all their 103-win glory, the Yankees aren’t perfect in the pitching department, as the bottom of their rotation is shaky. Sergio Mitre, Chad Gaudin and the erratic Joba Chamberlain don’t scare anyone. However, the Yanks’ top three of C.C. Sabathia, A.J. Burnett and Andy Pettitte is stronger than anything the Twins can throw at the Yanks. After Scott Baker, who pitched last night, the Twinkies have no game-breaking starters. Sorry, Carl Pavano and Nick Blackburn, but you’re just glorified innings eaters.

In a five-game series, especially with Baker unavailable for the first few games, the Twins could fall behind quickly.

Betting Edge: Yankees

Twins vs Yankees odds maker breakdown: Bullpen
Both teams are strong in the pen. Mariano Rivera is only, you know, the greatest playoff reliever of all time, sporting a 0.77 ERA in 117.1 career innings. He has a solid support group led by converted starter Phil Hughes, who excelled as a reliever, finishing 2009 8-3 with a 3.03 ERA and 96 strikeouts in 86 innings. The Twins counter with a deep group headed by overpowering closer Joe Nathan and experienced relievers like Jon Rauch, Jesse Crain and Matt Guerrier. Neither team has a clear MLB betting edge here.

Pick: Draw

Twins vs Yankees odds maker breakdown: Defense
After years of being known as one of baseball’s worst defensive teams, the Yankees righted the ship this season, moving Matsui to DH and getting solid defense from Derek Jeter, Robinson Cano, Mark Teixeira, and even A-Rod. The Twins have good infield defense and a surprisingly rangy outfield with Carlos Gomez and Delmon Young, who is spryer than he looks, so they have a slight edge.

Betting Edge: Twins

Twins vs Yankees betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
Minnesota’s late season heroics and dramatic win over Detroit amount to a cute story – but online betting fans shouldn’t be fooled into thinking the Twins can hang with the Yankees. Aside from question marks at the bottom of its rotation, this Yankee team is the most playoff-ready since the early 2000s – well-rounded, offensively potent and, believe it or not, a cohesive group of guys who really seem to like each other. The Twins may steal a game on pure emotion, but that’s it.

DALE’S PICK: Yankees in four

For full Yankees vs Twins odds, visit our sportsbook. For sports betting analysis on every MLB playoff series, bookmark the Betting Edge at

Dale Lalonde is's MLB expert.



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