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Betting Predictions On Spurs Suns - Spurs Almost Certain To Rest Against Hopeful Suns

Posted by Craig Parsons on 4/24/2012 5:00:13 PM

The San Antonio Spurs have just clinched the top seed in the NBA's Western Conference. The Phoenix Suns are desperately fighting for the eighth and last playoff spot in the West.

San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns - Wednesday, April 25 
Sports betting line: No line

Why San Antonio Will Win

The online betting analysts who are studying this contest will calmly point out that even though the San Antonio Spurs have already clinched the top seed in the NBA's Western Conference, they still have a really good team when their non-superstar players take the court. San Antonio has been resting its veteran "big three" of Tony Parker, Tim Duncan, and Manu Ginobili against markedly inferior teams for the past few weeks if not longer. Just about every NBA head coach, in the face of this compressed 66-game schedule, has been forced to rest his starters for more games because of the relentless procession of games on the slate.

The Parker-Duncan-Ginobili trio has a lot of miles on its collective odometer, making it an easy call for head coach Gregg Popovich to sit out all three players on Wednesday against the Suns. This doesn't mean, though, that San Antonio should suddenly be written off. More than a week ago, the Spurs – resting each member of the big three – still carried a 30-point lead into the final minutes of regulation at Golden State before coasting to the finish line. Guys like Kawhi Leonard and Gary Neal have been brilliant for the Spurs this year, creating quality depth and balance in the San Antonio lineup. Even if the big three sit out this entire game – which is a very distinct possibility – the Spurs have the horses needed to get the job done. 

Why Phoenix Will Win

When you do your homework and assess your sports bet on this game, you'll note that the Phoenix Suns could be eliminated from the playoffs. Phoenix's Tuesday night game against Utah will determine if the Suns can clinch a playoff berth with a win in this game, or if it will be the final time they'll take the court this season. Either way, the Suns have a better than even-money chance of winning this game because of the fact that the Spurs have clinched the top seed in the West. Yes, San Antonio's bench is excellent, but the key point to realize is that San Antonio has done the hard work of securing home-court advantage throughout the Western Conference playoffs.

Human nature being what it is, the Spurs are likely to relax and just go through the motions in their final two games of the season. San Antonio plays another meaningless game the night after Wednesday, traveling to Oakland to face Golden State on Thursday. Phoenix will either be motivated to make the playoffs, or it will try hard to win its final home game of the season in front of its fans. The calculus is in Phoenix's favor.

Who Will Win

It’s just not that complicated: San Antonio – even its bench – has little incentive to play particularly hard in this game. The Spurs will take a night off with the playoffs coming. They simply do not need to push themselves here. Phoenix will win.

NBA Basketball Betting Pick: Phoenix

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