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Dallas Mavericks Betting – Breaking Down The Mavericks’ Chances

Posted by Craig Parsons on 2/6/2014 9:45:03 PM

Online betting players have watched Dallas roll through the Western Conference to set up this rematch with Miami, who beat them in the 2006 NBA Finals, and they’ve done it in impressive fashion. Here is a look at the Mavericks’ strengths and weaknesses, and what they need to do in order to avenge their loss from five years ago.

Why Bet On Dallas Mavericks

Strengths

The Mavericks are incredibly efficient offensively, shooting 46.3% from the field and 38.8%
from three-point land, and Dirk Nowitzki has been unstoppable during this playoff run, averaging 28.4 points. Jason Terry has boosted his shooting percentage, while J.J.Barea joins Terry in giving the Mavericks a one-two punch off the bench. Even Peja Stojakovic has played his part in the postseason, giving the Mavericks another weakside shooter to free up space for Nowitzki. Dallas can also be stingy when they want to on the defensive end, especially on the perimeter as their opponents are shooting just 26.2% from beyond the arc.

Dallas also has a major advantage over Miami in that they can go nine-deep on their bench, and not lose a lot of their production. Two of their top five scorers, Terry and Barea, are substitutes, and they played huge minutes against the Los Angeles Lakers and Oklahoma City. Tyson Chandler gives the Mavericks a defensive-minded center like they’ve never had before, and he has made Nowitzki a better defender as well. Jason Kidd may not be as quick as he once was, but he’s a better defensive player than you think despite not being able to stay in front of other point guards. Finally, the Mavericks have two above-average perimeter defenders in Shawn Marion and DeShawn Stevenson.

Weaknesses

The Mavericks can be dragged into a shootout, as NBA betting players saw in their series against the Thunder, who scored 100 points or more in three of the five games. They’re not a great defensive team, just a good one, and teams can penetrate on them, although not as easily as before. It’s just now they can take more chances because they have Chandler at the back, and even though he’s not even averaging a block per game, his presence back there is enough to make someone think twice.

Dallas also has to get on the glass if they want to beat the Heat, who are grabbing almost four rebounds per game more than the Mavericks. It’s going to take a team effort for the Mavericks to overcome Miami’s athleticism on the boards, and in particular, LeBron James and Dwyane Wade. The Heat outrebounded Chicago, one of the best rebounding teams in the league, and that fueled their five-game win over the Bulls; Dallas can’t let the Heat run wild on the glass.

Outlook

NBA betting odds have the Mavericks listed at +155 to win the Finals for the first time in their history, and given their performance throughout the Western postseason, they definitely have a good shot. They have to take advantage of their offensive opportunities against a Heat team that is better defensively than any team they’ve faced so far. Dallas needs Nowitzki to continue his brilliant play because he is the one player that the Heat can’t guard, and he’ll see plenty of different defenders, from Udonis Haslem to James.

But the one thing that the Mavericks really need to press is their advantage on the bench, because Miami’s big Achilles Heel is their depth. If the Mavericks can manage to win that battle, they’ll give themselves a great chance to win the NBA title and come away with an upset in your sports betting book.

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