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Spurs Get Their Chance To Win Three Straight Games At Home In NBA Finals

Posted by Craig Parsons on 6/11/2013 7:30:32 PM

The challenge of a 2-3-2 travel format in the NBA Finals is found in the middle of the series. The San Antonio Spurs won’t return to Miami for Game 6 if they can sweep the next three contests.

2013 NBA Finals, Game 3:
Miami Heat @ San Antonio Spurs – Tuesday, June 11

A sound sports bet will probably be able to make a strong case for the Spurs in this specific game, even though the series as a whole feels like a toss-up at this point. When sports betting practitioners size up this tilt, they will make the fundamental point that one should not expect Game 3 to mimic Game 2, at least on a few basic levels.

While MMA betting specialists love a contact sport, this NBA Finals series has been so enjoyable to watch in part because of the lack of fouling that has occurred. The teams combined to commit only 37 fouls in the first six quarters of the series (through the first half of Game 2). This is a series based on execution, and in Game 3, the question becomes: “Will San Antonio continue to mishandle the ball as it did in Game 2, or will the Spurs clean up their act?” The more likely answer is that the Spurs will improve their ball handling and reduce their number of turnovers.

You’re just not likely to see San Antonio point guard Tony Parker – the team’s best player – hit only five of 14 shots as he did in Game 2 on Sunday. You’re just not likely to see Tim Duncan miss 10 of his 13 shots as he did in Game 2. You’re just not likely to see the Spurs get blown out on a night when Miami superstar LeBron James scored only six points in the first 33 minutes of play. James really didn’t get going until late in the third quarter, and even then, he finished with only 17 points, marking the second time in as many games that he’s been held under 20 points in this series. Miami’s role players – Ray Allen, Chris Andersen, Mario Chalmers, and Mike Miller – all played really well in Game 2, but that game was in Miami. On the road, role players generally struggle more. One should expect San Antonio, playing at home, to get better performances from the likes of Manu Ginobili and Matt Bonner in Game 3.

All in all, the Spurs should be able to score in the 90s if not higher. They’re going to feel comfortable in their own building and – given their ability to solve problems against Golden State in the second round of the playoffs – should be expected to show the resilience that has carried them to the Finals. Expecting a carry-over from Game 2 just doesn’t make a lot of sense; Miami might win, but the Heat are certainly not going to cruise the way they did in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference Finals series on the road in Indianapolis against the Indiana Pacers.

Miami needs LeBron to be a lot better to win this game, but San Antonio forward Kawhi Leonard has been sensational on defense against LeBron, even in back-down situations near the low block. San Antonio unraveled in Game 2, committing copious amounts of turnovers that Miami turned into buckets. The Heat probably won’t get as many cheap points in Game 3, and that will pave the way for a win by the Spurs. 

NBA Betting Pick: San Antonio


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