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Duke Virginia Betting Predictions – Virginia Can Punch Its Ticket To The NCAA Tourney

Posted by Washington Tucker on 2/25/2013 6:22:12 PM

As Duke continues to chase down Miami in the ACC as well as fight for a number one seed, Virginia looks to add perhaps the final stamp on an at-large resume with an elite win in the conference.

Duke Blue Devils @ Virginia Cavaliers – Thursday, February 28
Betting line: No line

Why Duke Will Win

Even mma betting experts might very well know that the Blue Devils enter this game fresh off a couple of one-sided victories over Virginia Tech and Boston College. The Maryland loss on Feb. 16 seems to have reenergized the Blue Devils. It got the team re-committed to playing at both ends of the floor. Virginia tends to play most of its games in the 60s and rarely has shown the offensive prowess to overcome a team that gets well above that point total.

Duke should be looking to push the tempo, get shots in transition, and use Mason Plumlee in the middle of the paint to draw attention from the Cavaliers' defense, opening up shots on the perimeter. Duke’s halfcourt defense is almost always fundamentally sound and will need to be as much against a Virginia team that shoots the three well. Virginia doesn’t have much one-on-one skill that will give Duke problems. If Duke can chase the shooters off their shooting spots, UVA may find trouble scoring.

Virginia hasn’t shown much against the top of the ACC to date, with a 1-2 record against North Carolina and Miami. While the team sits in position for a bye in the ACC Tournament, the reality is that its record is more reflective of its schedule than its talent.

Why Virginia Will Win

No bet on this game should ignore the reality that Virginia has put up a number of head-scratching losses this season, but pretty much every single one of those has been on the road. Virginia has been pretty solid at home all season, and when paired with the fact that Duke has been far from a world-beater on the road, the reality is that the playing field is relatively even in this contest.

Virginia doesn’t bring a deep team to the floor and will rely on Joe Harris and Akil Mitchell to carry the scoring load for the Cavaliers throughout the game. One thing Virginia can rely on is its defense. The fourth-ranked unit in the country in points per game allowed is also tops in the ACC. Duke loves playing free and pushing the tempo, but if UVA can drag this game out, run the shot clock, and minimize possessions, the odds of getting Duke to play a sloppy offensive game will rise.

The Cavs and Blue Devils each are among the best teams in the conference at limiting turnovers. The extra possessions in this game could go a long way to determining a winner. Virginia needs to hit the boards and make sure Duke’s not getting extra possessions.  Football betting experts with little college basketball knowledge could tell you that unless Duke shoots at a very high percentage, Virginia will have a good chance to win this game if it can clean up on the glass.

Who Will Win

With the door for a one seed still cracked open and waiting for someone to step in, Duke should come out with a big effort in a game it simply can’t afford to lose. Add a talent edge, and UVA should come up short against a heavyweight once again.

College Basketball Betting Pick: Duke

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