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Florida State vs Duke Betting Odds – FSU continue to be jinxed at Cameron

Posted by Washington Tucker on 1/26/2010 1:58:37 PM

NCAA Basketball Odds: Pick Duke

Online betting players have been trying to figure out Florida State all year, as they’re hanging tough in the ACC. However, they’ve always had troubles at Duke, and they’ll head there on Wednesday to face the Blue Devils. Florida State hasn’t handled the ball well this year, and this will be their Achilles Heel as the Duke crowd will get louder by the second.

WHAT: NCAA basketball betting
WHEN: Wednesday, January 27, 9:00 PM ET
WHERE: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
KEY STAT: Florida State is 1-11 at Cameron in their history

The Storyline - Florida State vs Duke Betting Odds
The Seminoles (15-4, 3-2) are coming off big wins at home over Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech, but Cameron has been an awful place for Florida State, who has lost 11 of their 12 trips at Duke. The No.8 Blue Devils (16-3, 4-2) bounced back from a disappointing loss at North Carolina State to win at Clemson, which is a very tough place to play, and Duke showed they could be physical as well.

Offensive Matchups - Florida State vs Duke Betting Odds
After being a perimeter team with Toney Douglas last year, Florida State is more interior-oriented this season with Solomon Alabi and Chris Singleton, who notched a career-high 23 points against Georgia Tech. But they have a problem with turnovers, coming in 321st in the country.

The Blue Devils are 10th in the nation in scoring, and Jon Scheyer is a legitimate Player of the Year candidate, but he can’t do it by himself. Duke is much more dangerous when Nolan Smith and Kyle Singler contribute, and Smith had 22 points in the win at Clemson. If the Blue Devils had even one consistent inside scorer, they’d be almost unstoppable.

Betting Edge: Duke

Defensive Matchups - Florida State vs Duke Betting Odds
Florida State’s sportsbook odds are directly related to their defense: they’re tops in the NCAA in field-goal defense. Alabi’s 2.6 blocks leads a team that is ninth in that category nationally, while Singleton has 2.2 steals per game. The Seminoles have given up 70 points or more just four times this season, and three of them have resulted in a loss.

Duke is surprisingly tough on the defensive end of the floor, coming in 33rd in field-goal defense, and they’re quick to guard the long-range shooters as well. Mason Plumbee is their top interior defender, and he’ll have his hands full with Alabi and Singleton down low unless he gets some help.

Betting Edge: Florida State

Coaching Matchup - Florida State vs Duke Betting Odds
Leonard Hamilton finally got the Seminoles to the Big Dance after four NITs in five seasons, and he’s done a good job of getting the team to change their outlook. With Douglas last year, they were a gunning team from outside, but Hamilton has the team buying into the new system devoted to the big guys inside.

Mike Krzyzewski did a great job of getting his players ready for a hostile environment at Clemson, where they were trounced by 27 points the previous year. This marks the beginning of a crucial week for Coach K, as they visit Georgetown this weekend before welcoming Georgia Tech to Cameron next week.

Betting Edge: Duke

Betting Prediction - Florida State vs Duke Betting Odds
The Blue Devils will definitely be favored here, as the Seminoles are 1-11 in their history travelling to Cameron, which is easily one of the top five intimidating places to play in all of college sports. The Blue Devils are 12-0 at Cameron this season, and their streak of 14 wins at home dates back to a 101-87 loss against North Carolina last February. This will be an interesting contrast of styles, as Florida State will try to slow the game down and force Duke inside, while the Blue Devils will look to get out and run, as well as shoot some spot-up threes. The key will be how the Florida State guards, namely Derwin Kitchen and Michael Snaer, handle the “Cameron Crazies”. Will they be poised, or will it lead to a ton of turnovers?  We’re betting on the latter.

Washington’s Pick: Ruke

For more sports betting tips and analysis in college basketball, stay on top of things in BetOnline’s The Betting Edge. For more on the Florida State vs Duke matchup, please visit our stats section.



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