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VCU Butler Betting – Two Unlikely Teams Meet in Final Four

Posted by Washington Tucker on 2/6/2014 2:48:26 AM

The first national semifinal at the 2011 Final Four is one for the history books. In a matchup that defies all the odds and all description, one mid-major team will book a spot in Monday’s final.

NCAA basketball betting: (11) Virginia Commonwealth Rams vs. (8) Butler Bulldogs

Why To Bet On Virginia Commonwealth

March Madness betting gurus don’t have as much historical evidence to use when assessing this game. Only twice before, in 1986 with LSU and in 2006 with George Mason, did a No. 11 seed make the Final Four. Unsurprisingly, those two teams lost, because at this advanced stage of the NCAA Tournament, low seeds are generally supposed to submit to the strength of much higher seeded teams. The lowest-seeded team to win the national championship was Villanova, an eighth seed, in 1985. The Wildcats beat second-seeded Memphis State in the national semifinals that year and then took down a top seed, the Georgetown Hoyas, in the national championship game. There’s a very good reason why that kind of event has happened only once. Low seeds aren’t supposed to beat high seeds on this kind of a stage. The really good teams in college basketball who reach the Final Four have proven their worth and have attained a very high degree of confidence. Cinderellas usually bow out in the Sweet 16 and even more in the Elite Eight. They don’t stick around at the Final Four. By all those measures, Virginia Commonwealth should be in trouble.

But wait – this time, the No. 11 seed is playing an eighth-seeded team from Butler. This is basically a matchup of even teams who come from the same background. Moreover, if anything, Virginia Commonwealth played in a tougher mid-major league than Butler did. VCU’s conference, the Colonial Athletic Association, had six teams with at least 20 wins this year. The Horizon League, Butler’s conference, could not match that. VCU has received tougher tests and will use that advantage to great benefit on Saturday.

Why To Bet On Butler

Sports betting experts weren’t talking much about Butler at the beginning of this year’s NCAA Tournament, but look at them now. The Bulldogs are once again the centerpiece of conversation in this event. The little school from Indianapolis has managed to make the Final Four for the second straight year. The simple realization of the enormity of that achievement is impossible to fully absorb. What this feat says, though, is that Butler possesses uncommon resilience, fortitude and tenacity. The Bulldogs defend as well as any team in the country and are rarely, if ever, caught out of position at the defensive end of the floor. They don’t play a pretty offensive game, but their ability to rebound enables them to gain added possessions and play close games against teams with better talent. VCU exists on Butler’s plane; the Rams are a slightly lower seed and were fortunate to even make the NCAA Tournament. Butler should be able to grind down VCU’s defense in a low-scoring battle.

How The Game Will Play Out

VCU is a tremendous story. Butler is an even better one. VCU has done something phenomenal this season. Butler has done something doubly amazing. VCU is fearless, bold, and led by a gifted young coach. Butler is just as fearless and bold, but Brad Stevens is an even better coach than Shaka Smart. Butler will play this game on its terms. Therefore, the Bulldogs should win a game with a score of something like 62-57.

Virginia Commonwealth Butler Betting Pick: Butler

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