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Alabama vs Ole Miss Odds - Defense, running game too much for Ole Miss

Posted by Tony Bryant on 10/6/2009 3:12:02 PM
football betting spreadThe Alabama vs Ole Miss odds would have received national attention had the Rebels not lost in South Carolina, but as it stands now, no online betting capper feels that Ole Miss has much of a chance. Considering how good Alabama’s defense has played and how well they are coached, that’s exactly the reality here.

Alabama vs Ole Miss odds: Alabama -6.5

  • WHAT: NCAA Football betting
  • WHEN: Saturday, October 10rd – 3:30 PM ET
  • WHERE: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium – Oxford, MI
  • PICK: Alabama -6.5

Alabama vs Ole Miss odds maker breakdown: What’s On The Line
NCAA football betting fans know that Alabama (5-0, 2-0) has their eye squarely on the prize, and another win over a ranked opponent combined with a potential Florida loss might mean that Alabama climbs back to the top of the food chain. The Crimson Tide saw Florida get derailed by Ole Miss last year so it’s likely they’ll be on upset alert this week.

For Ole Miss (3-1, 1-1), the thought of a National Championship was all but wiped out with a loss at South Carolina, but a win against Alabama gets them back on the map. The Running Rebels were a very pedestrian No. 4 seed in the nation and they got slammed back down to No. 20. They need a win to regain credibility.

Betting Edge: Alabama

Alabama vs Ole Miss odds maker breakdown: Offense
The Crimson Tide offense isn’t the best in the nation, but it is one effective and well-oiled machine. The offensive line is a powerful unit, and the running game is mauling defenses with Mark Ingram and quarterback Greg McIlroy is working efficiently as the offensive head. The general feel is that this is a defensive team, but this offense is improving on a weekly basis. Keep in mind that the Crimson Tide hung a number on Virginia Tech in Week 1 and the defense they’ll face this weekend won’t be as difficult.

The Running Rebels were supposed to be near lethal with supposed Heisman candidate Jevan Sneed, but that hasn’t been the case. Sneed is still struggling with his completion percentage and he doesn’t have the same weapons he had around him last year. Dexter McCluster and Brandon Bolden are nice pieces and are coming off big games, but the Rebels will have to play perfect on offense to win this game.

Betting Edge: Alabama

Alabama vs Ole Miss odds maker breakdown: Defense
There is no question that Alabama will have the better defense on the field this week as their unit is among the best in the nation. The Tide won’t let the Rebels get anything going on the ground, which could really be the story of the game. If Ole Miss has to rely on Sneed as they did in South Carolina, it likely won’t work.

The Ole Miss has held up its end of the bargain this year, and with the help of their crowd, they should be able to keep the Rebels in this game. The defense has given up just 11.3 points per game in their last eight contests and held an opponent under 300 yards for the third time this year last week. This unit is playing well right now, especially the front lines led by Greg Hardy.

Betting Edge: Alabama

Alabama vs Ole Miss odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Both teams are healthy for this contest.

Betting Edge: Even

Alabama vs Ole Miss State betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
The sportsbook has Alabama favored by nearly a touchdown in this game, and that figures to be about right. The Rebels defense will keep them in the game for the first half but eventually Alabama will start stringing a few good drives together. The Tide have the better defense and more playmakers on offense. While they won’t blow the Rebels out, the Rebels will need the Right Reverend Houston Nutt to manufacture a near miracle to beat Alabama.

TONY’S PICK: Alabama -65

For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit us in the Betting Edge every day. For more on the Alabama vs Ole Miss matchup, check out our stats center.

Tony Bryant is one of's college football experts.



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