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Arkansas vs LSU Betting Odds - Petrino to get signature win at Death Valley

Posted by Tony Bryant on 11/25/2009 10:01:05 AM
football lines bettingThe Arkansas vs LSU betting odds will set up a Battle for the Golden Boot in what will be a very even contest. While the Tigers are slumping down the stretch of the season, online betting cappers have seen the Razorbacks play as good as they have in the Bobby Petrino era. Look for the Hogs to close out the season on a high note with a big win over LSU.

Arkansas vs LSU betting odds: LSU -3.5
WHAT: NCAA football betting
WHEN: Saturday, November 28th – 7:00 PM ET
WHERE: Tiger Stadium – Baton Rouge, LA
PICK: Arkansas +3.5

Arkansas vs LSU betting odds maker breakdown: What’s On The Line
The Razorbacks (7-4, 3-4) had a slow start to the season, winning just three of their first seven games. But since then, they’ve been on fire. The Hogs have won four straight games and rolled their opponents. Now they’re ready to get Petrino a signature win - and get themselves into a better bowl game. With a win, Arkansas can leap over LSU in the SEC West standings.

For LSU (8-3, 4-3), college football betting fans know that the season hasn’t gone as planned. Prior to last week, their only losses came to Alabama and Florida, but some poor clock management led to an epic failure at Ole Miss. Now the Tigers will have to pick themselves up off the mat and hope to avoid a disastrous 1-3 finish to their season. It’s clear that Arkansas has more pep in their step nowadays.

Betting Edge: Arkansas

Arkansas vs LSU betting odds maker breakdown: Offense
We all knew it would be a matter of time until Petrino got this offense rolling, and right now, they’re about as good as they’ve ever looked. The Hogs have scored at least 33 points in their last four games (all wins) and have averaged 48.5. This is a unit that’s peaking right now. Quarterback Ryan Mallett leads the way and is the first in school history to top 3000 yards passing.

LSU’s offense has been somewhat in transition as the injuries are starting to mount. Quarterback Jordan Jefferson got back in the lineup last week, but he’s still a bit nimble on a recovering sprained ankle. He completed just 19 of 37 attempts against Ole Miss while taking four sacks. The Tigers lost running back Keiland Williams to a broken ankle last week, which means that their top two backs are now out for the year. The Tigers are still beat up since the Alabama loss and are feeling the sting. The offensive line is still strong and the receivers are among the best in the SEC, but Jefferson isn’t accurate right now and there’s no running game to speak of.

Betting Edge: Arkansas

Arkansas vs LSU betting odds maker breakdown: Defense
The good news for Arkansas is that their weakness on defense is their run protection. Last week, Mississippi State averaged 5.9 yards per carry. This week, the Hogs catch a break as the Tigers’ top two running backs will be out for this contest. Against the pass, this unit is decent. Last week they held Mississippi State to a pitiful 49 yards passing.

On LSU’s side, their defense has been unbalanced this year, which has led to some shoddy performances. LSU has an excellent back seven – maybe among the best in the nation – but their defensive line simply doesn’t get much pressure on opposing quarterbacks. They’ll have to find a way to get at Mallett; otherwise, he’ll pick them apart. At home, they still have the edge.

Betting Edge: LSU

Arkansas vs LSU betting odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
The Tigers will be missing their top two running backs, Charles Scott and Keiland Williams, for this game. That’s a huge blow for the Tigers – they only had 40 rushing yards against Ole Miss last year.

Betting Edge: Arkansas

Arkansas vs LSU betting odds breakdown: Outlook and Pick
Normally, LSU is a bigger favorite than this at home on a Saturday night, because that environment is tough to play in. Even so, this is a rivalry game and the Razorbacks are coming in very confident, while the Tigers have lost two of their last three. Look for the Hogs offense to run up the score and for the Tigers to have some trouble keeping up.

TONY’S PICK: Arkansas +3.5

For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit us in the Betting Edge every day. For more on the Arkansas vs LSU betting matchup, check out our stats center.



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