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Baylor Texas A&M Betting: Baylor And Texas A&M Try To Rebound This Weekend

Posted by Blake Frazier on 10/12/2011 7:46:48 PM

The Baylor Bears and the Texas A&M Aggies can both score, but they will pile up the points in different ways when they lock horns this weekend at Kyle Field in College Station, Texas.
Baylor Bears @ Texas A&M Aggies - Saturday, October 15

Sports betting line: Texas A&M -9

Why Baylor Will Win

College football betting  experts know that no lead is safe for the Texas A&M Aggies this season. Coach Mike Sherman's team built a 17-point advantage at halftime against Oklahoma State a few weeks ago and lost, as the Cowboys snared multiple turnovers from the Aggies' frail skill position players en route to a massive comeback. The fact that the collapse occurred on home turf had to shake A&M to its foundations. That notion was very much affirmed the following week, as the Aggies coughed up a 35-17 halftime lead to Arkansas. In that game against the Razorbacks from the SEC, Sherman - whose team was averaging close to eight yards per carry at the time - chose to punt twice in fourth-and-one situations in the middle third of the field. A&M easily should have been able to pound out first downs, but its timid coach instead chose to give the ball back to a high-powered Arkansas passing game. Texas A&M lost hold of its confidence; then it lost hold of the lead; finally, when it couldn't deliver the goods on a last-ditch drive, it lost the game. The Aggies are, hands down, one of the three most disappointing teams in the United States this season. Since Baylor has one of the best and most exciting players in the country, quarterback Robert Griffin III, it stands to reason that the Bears will never be out of contention in this clash. Griffin should be able to throw the ball effectively and light up the scoreboard. That's a recipe for an upset, and a celebration for the Baptist school from Waco, Texas.

Why Texas A&M Will Win

When you contemplate your sports bet in this game, you need to juggle competing tensions. Yes, Texas A&M's defense has wilted in the second halves of games this season. Yes, the Aggies have blown three-possession leads (17 points or more) on multiple occasions. Yes, A&M is a very disappointing club. However, none of those truths can change another fact: Baylor still isn't an elite team. The Bears' superstar quarterback, Robert Griffin, had thrown more touchdown passes than incompletions through the first four weeks of the season. Griffin was playing the quarterback position with a precision and polish rarely seen in college football's long and impressive history. Griffin and receiver Kendall Wright have formed one of the best pitch-and-catch combinations in the United States. Yet, for all of that, Baylor still couldn't beat a decent-but-hardly-great Kansas State team last weekend. Griffin threw only one interception against five touchdown passes, but that one interception was cashed into three Kansas State points, three points that led to a 36-35 defeat for Baylor. The Bears' defense is worse than A&M's, and that's why Griffin will score four or five touchdowns yet still lose. The Aggies are far more powerful than the Bears at the line of scrimmage. A&M's offensive line can pound Baylor's defensive front into submission. Even though A&M has had a far worse season, there's a reason why the Aggies are a solid favorite at home in College Station, Texas.

Who Will Win

Texas A&M will win this game because it will be able to run the ball at will. However, A&M's defense will get lit up by Griffin, enough to make this game particularly close. Baylor will score too much to lose against the spread. The Aggies will beat the Bears by a touchdown on Saturday.

College Football Betting Pick: Baylor

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