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Florida Florida State Betting Tips – Sunshine State Showdown Looms Large This Weekend

Posted by Blake Frazier on 11/21/2012 5:27:08 PM

The Florida Gators and Florida State Seminoles are both in the top 10, both intent on making a BCS bowl, and both desiring of a shot at the BCS National Championship Game.

Florida Gators @ Florida State Seminoles – Saturday, November 24    
Football betting line: Florida State

Why Florida Will Win

No bet on sports should count out Florida, but more specifically, no bet on college football should ever underestimate the capabilities of the Gators' defense, which has consistently been able to overcome the limitations of the team's offense.

It's almost impossible to express just how impressive Florida's defense has been this season. It's not just that the Gators don't allow many points or that they come up with takeaways to change the tone and trajectory of games in Florida's favor. The truly amazing aspect of the Gators' defensive unit this season is that it has done all that it has done under daunting circumstances.

Usually, when one side of the ball is asked to do all the heavy lifting for a team, that side of the ball collapses under the strain of an excessive workload. Yet, Florida's defense has never really crumbled this season. The Gators' only loss was a 17-9 decision against Georgia in which the defense gained multiple turnovers, only to see the offense cough up the ball six times, including a red-zone fumble late in the game that sealed Florida's defeat. The Gators' defense has taken the field time after time in 2012 knowing that it had to do just about everything to produce a victory, and every week, coach Will Muschamp's unit manages to do its part. If Florida can get three or four takeaways from Florida State and give its offense some drive starts inside the FSU 40, the Gators can ride their normal formula to victory.

Why Florida State Will Win

Even mma betting experts know that Florida's offense is going to have a tough time scoring in this game. First of all, the Gators are playing a road game. Second, they're facing one of the best and deepest defensive lines in the country. Florida State is loaded up front and will make it very hard for Florida to run the ball with any degree of sustained success.

The biggest reason, though, why Florida State is in such good shape is that Florida doesn't know which quarterback will play in this game. The Gators are hoping that Jeff Driskel can be the trigger man for their offense on Saturday, but Driskel's progress in rehabilitating from a recent injury has been less than complete. The Florida coaching staff might get its wish, but the simple fact that the quarterback situation is still uncertain at this point should lead neutral observers to conclude that even if he does play, Driskel will not be up to par. His backup, Jacoby Brissett, is worse, but Driskel has to be in top form if Florida is going to win. He's not likely to be anywhere close to his best.

Who Will Win

Don't bet against Florida State here. Florida is not healthy at a key position, and the Seminoles – playing at home – should get a terrific performance from their defensive front. Take Florida State in this situation.

College Football Betting Pick: Florida State

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