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LSU Arkansas Betting Predictions – LSU Tries To End Regular Season With Tenth Win

Posted by Blake Frazier on 11/20/2012 5:31:11 PM

The LSU Tigers are very much aware of the fact that if they beat Arkansas this Friday, they will remain in contention for a possible at-large BCS bowl bid. They have to maintain focus.

LSU Tigers @ Arkansas Razorbacks – Friday, November 23    
Football betting line: LSU -12

Why LSU Will Win

No bet on sports is an absolute lock, but LSU comes pretty close in this game. The Tigers' adversary on Friday is a far cry from what it was a year ago. In 2011, Arkansas was a legitimate national championship contender. The Razorbacks weren't ravaged by injuries the way they have been this year. More importantly, they had Bobby Petrino as their head coach. Petrino gave Arkansas swagger, an enduring sense of confidence, and really good play selection in tandem with brother Paul Petrino, another member of the Hogs' coaching staff.

Arkansas entered last year's game at LSU with only one loss, and when Arkansas gained a double-digit lead midway through the first half, there was a palpable sense in the crowd – and across the country – that the Razorbacks were on the verge of creating a three-way tie for the SEC West championship, one that Arkansas might very well have won due to a higher ranking in the Bowl Championship Series standings the following Sunday (when the rankings would have been released).

As it was, though, LSU mounted a comeback and defeated the Hogs. This year, the firing of Petrino following his affair with Arkansas football development (recruiting) employee Jessica Dorrell caused a domino effect in which the Razorbacks were not only stripped of their head coach in April, but forced to bring aboard a second-rate coach (John L. Smith) due to the fact that no big-name candidate would have had enough time to install his system before the regular season.

If Petrino had gotten fired in early January, an elite coach could have been chosen as his replacement. In April, Arkansas Athletic Director Jeff Long had no really good options. Arkansas has suffered on the field as a result of this situation. Smith has not measured up as the team's head coach, and a season lies in ruins. The Razorbacks are not in position to mount fierce resistance to the Tigers this year.

Why Arkansas Will Win

Even mma betting experts know that LSU has not had the best of seasons, losing twice one year after going 13-0 in the 2011 regular season. This is true because LSU hasn't handled the road with all that much steadiness and strength. The Tigers – who have played a series of home games (three in a row) of late – have not been away from Baton Rouge since Oct. 20.

More to the point, the Tigers have played only one road game over the past one and a half months, since Oct. 6. LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger has not played one road game with poise or any appreciable degree of excellence. He is a shaky quarterback in road games, and Arkansas can rattle him this Friday. If Mettenberger commits two or more turnovers, the complexion of this game could change in a heartbeat.

Who Will Win

Don't assume that LSU will dominate from the very beginning, but after one and a half quarters, the Tigers' power and depth should begin to overwhelm the Razorbacks. Arkansas will fade in the third quarter and disappear in the fourth. Pick LSU here.

College Football Betting Pick: LSU

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