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MAACO Bowl Betting – Boise State Tries To Avoid “The Grumble Factor”

Posted by Blake Frazier on 12/15/2011 2:50:54 PM
maaco bowl betting

The Boise State Broncos might be playing the Arizona State Sun Devils in the MAACO Bowl, but in many ways, they’ll simply be playing themselves. Will they take this game seriously?

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Boise State Broncos - Thursday, December 22

Sports betting line: Boise State -14

Why Arizona State Will Win

When you do your homework and assess your sports bet on this game, the only way the 6-6 Sun Devils can stay in the building with Boise State is if Boise State grumbles its way through this contest. BSU head coach Chris Petersen wasn’t much interested in Arizona State at a press conference last week, just after the end of the regular season. He lashed out at the BCS system, saying that everyone is “tired” of it and that a new system needs to be put in place. Petersen made these comments after his 11-1 team – the owner of an impressive win at Georgia in a season-opening neutral-site game played in Atlanta – was passed over for the Sugar Bowl by a Virginia Tech team that didn’t possess a single non-conference win that could begin to compare with Boise State’s triumph over Georgia. Moreover, Virginia Tech suffered two blowout losses to Clemson, whereas Boise State lost by one point to TCU on a touchdown and 2-point conversion in the final minute of regulation, followed by a missed field goal by the Broncos on the last play of the game. Clearly, on the merits, Boise State deserved the Sugar Bowl berth more than Virginia Tech, but the BCS reaffirmed the extent to which it rewards friendships and connections more than pure football resumes.
Boise State, for all it has accomplished over the past four years, has received only one BCS bowl bid . The Broncos have gone 22-2 over the past two regular seasons, but have now been sent to Las Vegas in the bowl season for two straight years. If Boise State doesn’t care about playing this game, Arizona State can swoop in and pick up a surprising victory. The matchup is uneven on paper, but if the heavy favorite is disinterested, the calculus can and will change very quickly.

Why Boise State Will Win

The college football betting  experts who are looking at this contest are not going to tell you that Arizona State matches up well with Boise State. Arizona State lost to a 3-9 Arizona team in November, and it followed that face-plant by surrendering 47 points to a mediocre California offense at home. This team is reeling, and it hasn’t even found a permanent head coach for the 2012 season. Even if a distracted and disappointed Boise State team does not play its best game, it’s hard to see how Arizona State will ever find enough fire and focus to last 60 whole minutes. Boise can sleepwalk through 30 minutes, but the Broncos won’t stay down for long, if at all. They should club ASU in convincing fashion.

Who Will Win

It’s simply a matter of Boise’s level of interest. The Broncos probably won’t be at their very best, but they’ll have to be horrible for at least 50 minutes if Arizona State is to have a chance. Boise will probably play poorly for 25 minutes at the most. Take the Broncos minus the points.



College Football Betting Pick: Boise State

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