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Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas Betting – Northwestern Is The Perfect Foe For Texas A&M

Posted by Blake Frazier on 12/27/2011 5:56:37 PM
meineke car care bowl of texas betting

The 2011 Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas is the kind of matchup in which one team’s weaknesses are not likely to be exposed by its opponent. This creates clarity for bettors.

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Texas A&M Aggies - Saturday, December 31

Sports betting line: Texas A&M -10

Why Northwestern Will Win

When you do your homework and assess your sports bet on this game, you’ll realize that an attempt to liken this game to the 2010 Texas Bowl is not as clear-cut as you might first think.
Let’s go back a year in time. In the 2010 Texas Bowl, Baylor was making a short trip from its Waco, Texas, campus to Houston to face a 6-6 Illinois team that looked ripe for a knockout. With a high-powered offense led by Robert Griffin III (this year’s Heisman Trophy favorite), Baylor seemed to be in position to roll over a .500 squad from the Big Ten. Baylor possessed more speed on the edges and a vastly superior quarterback, and its defense did not figure to be exploited on a massive scale. Illinois struggled to throw the ball late in the 2010 season, giving Baylor’s limited defense the idea that it would not have to stand on its head to deliver a victory.

Those Illinois-Baylor dynamics exist in this 2011 clash in the Lone Star State. Northwestern is taking Illinois’s place, while Texas A&M – another school located not too far from Houston – is naturally filling the role played last year by Baylor.
Now, however, one must remember what happened in that Illinois-Baylor Texas Bowl last year. Illinois raced past a Baylor team that was stuck in quicksand. The Illini showed more energy and instinctiveness than the Bears, who never established rhythm after the month-long layoff following the end of the regular season. For all the ways in which A&M – a bad second-half team – does not figure to be threatened by another poor second-half squad from Northwestern, it could very well be that the Wildcats will overturn conventional wisdom and win their first bowl game since the 1949 Rose Bowl. If so, Northwestern coach Pat Fitzgerald will register one of his most important achievements.

Why Texas A&M Will Win

The college football betting  experts examining this contest will tell you over and over again: Northwestern simply does not respond well in the second halves of games, which means that Texas A&M is sitting pretty before kickoff time arrives. Texas A&M lost five games in 2011 when it led at halftime, so the presence of Northwestern on the opposite sideline will be music to the Aggies’ ears in their final game before their move to the Southeastern Conference.
Northwestern, due to repeated injuries to star quarterback Dan Persa, has failed to find a groove on offense this season. The Wildcats showed an ability to play well for a full quarter at a time, but were rarely able to sustain excellence for longer periods. Northwestern led Michigan by 10 points at halftime but crumbled in the second half. The Cats led Illinois 28-10 late in the third quarter of their rivalry game against the Illini, only to drop a 38-35 decision. Northwestern just doesn’t handle second-half leads with care. For a Texas A&M team that has so regularly stumbled in the third quarter of a given contest, it would seem that NU is the perfect opponent in a bowl game. A&M finally named a replacement for fired coach Mike Sherman when it tabbed former Houston boss Kevin Sumlin for the job. The Aggies might be distracted by the coaching situation that has swirled about them in recent weeks, but given Northwestern’s inability to perform well after halftime, the Aggies are still in very good shape.

Who Will Win

It’s really simple: Texas A&M is a poor second-half team, vulnerable to almost any opponent in major college football. Northwestern is one of the few teams which is not equipped to expose the Aggies on the field. Take Texas A&M.



College Football Betting Pick: Texas A&M

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