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Miami vs Florida State Odds – ‘Noles kick season off with victory over rival ‘Canes

Posted by Blake Frazier on 4/18/2012 11:11:11 AM
NCAAF spreadThe first week of NCAA football odds begins with an explosive meeting between Florida State and Miami, two of the dominant teams of the late 1990s that have since fallen off. Miami has fared well in its recent history at Florida State, but a young offense will doom it against a reloading Seminole defense.

Miami vs Florida State Odds: Florida State -6

  • WHAT: NCAA football betting odds
  • WHEN: Monday, September 7, 8:00 PM ET
  • WHERE: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
  • KEY STAT: Miami has won four of its last five trips to Florida State
  • PICK: Florida State

Miami vs Florida State odds maker breakdown: Offense

Miami returns eight starters but the quarterback depth was hurt by a couple of transfers. Jacory Harris will start with most of his offensive line and weapons back, but the Hurricanes’ skill players are very young, which could hurt them as they look to improve on their 89th-place ranking from 2008. The entire offensive line is back for FSU, meaning Christian Ponder will be well-protected. The top running back and top receivers from last year are gone, but there is plenty of depth. The Seminoles were 51st in offense in 2008 and, if Ponder can stop throwing into coverage, they’ll put up the points.

Betting Edge: Florida State

Miami vs Florida State odds maker breakdown: Defense

Defense could be the Hurricanes’ online sports betting savior this year as eight starters are back, although coordinator Bill Young left for Oklahoma State. Miami lured John Lovett from Clemson, which finished 18th in total defense last year. The Seminoles have only five starters back, and the loss of pass-rush specialist Everette Brown and All-American safety Myron Rolle hurts a lot. A slight edge goes to the Hurricanes because of their experience.

Betting Edge: Miami

Miami vs Florida State odds maker breakdown: What’s On The Line

Miami has a brutal beginning to the season and a win would boost the confidence of a young team that sorely needs it. The Seminoles haven’t been in the preseason rankings since 2006; a big win over a rival in a nationally-televised game would give some offshore sportsbook players more faith in them, especially ahead of a tricky trip to BYU on September 19th.

Betting Edge: Florida State

Miami vs Florida State odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries

For the Hurricanes, starting running back Craig Cooper and defensive end Adewale Ojomo could miss this game, while FSU is relatively healthy heading into the season.

Betting Edge: Florida State

Miami vs Florida State betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick

The Hurricanes have won seven of their last 10 against the Seminoles, but Florida State took last year’s meeting 41-39 at Miami--and I don’t think the Hurricanes’ offense can put up 39 again. Their quarterback is a sophomore and their receivers are all very green. The Seminoles lost a lot on defense, but this year’s starters have experience and are used to the system. It won’t be a shootout like last year, but the FSU offense will have enough to score on a Miami defense in transition.

BLAKE’S PICK: Florida State

For more sports betting tips and picks on the gridiron, follow Blake in the Betting Edge at for more on the Miami vs Florida State betting matchup, check out our stats section.

Blake walked onto his college football team and had a brief stint as an assistant coach after he graduated. He brings a sharp mind to the world of sports handicapping. Blake understands the nuances of the game that only someone who has played would understand. Thoughts or questions?



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