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Michigan Notre Dame Betting Predictions – Notre Dame Tries To Build A BCS Bowl Resume

Posted by Blake Frazier on 9/18/2012 6:38:00 PM

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are beginning to pick up momentum this season. If they can get by the Michigan Wolverines this weekend, they will be able to contend for a BCS bowl bid.

Michigan Wolverines @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Saturday, September 22    
Betting line: Notre Dame -6

Why Michigan Will Win

Legal online sports betting analysts don't have to tell you this, but they probably will, anyway: The Michigan Wolverines have beaten the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in each of the last three meetings between the schools, with Michigan quarterback Denard Robinson acquiring a prominent role in each of the last two clashes between these traditional powers in college football.

Robinson is not a great pure passer, but he has been able to make clutch plays in the final minutes of regulation with his legs and his arm in recent years against the Irish, foiling Notre Dame's hopes of shifting the balance of power in this storied series. Robinson is now a senior, and while Notre Dame has been extremely good at stopping the traditional power running game so far, the Irish will receive a change of pace with Robinson, a slippery runner who is very hard to bring down in the open field. If Robinson gets by the first point of attack and can create even a small degree of space, he will rip off a big gain and give Notre Dame problems.

The other reason why Michigan will win is that Notre Dame's offense is anything but proven. Scoring 20 points in two straight games does not offer cause for excessive confidence; it's Notre Dame's defense which is winning games for the Irish. Quarterback Everett Golson still has a lot of lessons to learn, and Michigan's defense – guided by coordinator Greg Mattison – should be able to hold Golson in check. As long as Robinson makes his fair share of plays and can eliminate interceptions from his stat line, Michigan will have a very good chance on Saturday night in South Bend, Ind.

Why Notre Dame Will Win

When NCAA football betting gurus put aside other work and evaluate this particular matchup, they're going to give Notre Dame favorable odds for one reason: Denard Robinson can't throw well. Robinson surprises experts with a good throw here and there, but as a senior, Michigan's coaching staff hoped he would be a much more polished pocket passer at this point in time, and he's clearly not there. Robinson was nonexistent against an Alabama team that dared him to throw while accounting for his running ability. Robinson presided over an up-and-down effort against Air Force, and last week's game against Massachusetts should not be seen as any kind of harbinger of future (breakout) performances. Robinson has to win this game with his arm, because Notre Dame's defense – which dominated Michigan State a week ago – is good enough to make sure that Robinson does not win this game with his legs. 

Who Will Win

It’s going to be a close game, which means that Michigan will cover the number. However, Notre Dame's defense is playing at such a high level right now. The Irish will win by a field goal.

College Football Betting Pick: Michigan

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