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Michigan Penn State Betting – Proud Programs Engage In Desperate Fight For Bowl Eligibility

Posted by Blake Frazier on 10/29/2010 2:59:16 PM
michigan penn state betting

The Michigan Wolverines and Penn State Nittany Lions are both pursuing bowl eligibility at the end of October. A critical game looms for two storied college football schools.

NCAA football betting: Michigan Wolverines @ Penn State Nittany Lions

Online Betting Odds: Michigan -3

Why To Bet On Michigan

The Wolverines have had a bye week in which to devote extra attention to everything about Penn State. That’s going to help Michigan coach Rich Rodriguez with his preparation for the Nittany Lions. Moreover, Michigan has owned Penn State over the years. From 1997 through 2007, the Wolverines did not lose to Penn State. It’s only in the past two seasons that the Nittany Lions have broken through, and now that Michigan’s offense, behind the prowess of immensely gifted quarterback Denard Robinson, is relatively good once again, the Wolverines stand a very good chance of winning, even on the road and at night in Happy Valley.

The biggest reason to take Michigan in this game is that Penn State’s quarterback situation has been thrown into uncertainty due to health-related reasons. PSU quarterback Robert Bolden, and up-and-coming freshman, hit 11 of his first 13 passes this past Saturday at the Minnesota Golden Gophers, but then got knocked out with an injury. Bolden’s replacement, Matt McGloin, hit only six of his 13 passes for 76 yards with an interception. If Bolden can’t play this Saturday, that’s definitely a negative for the Nittany Lions, thereby benefiting the Michigan cause. The Wolverines should be able to generate enough offense to win the game, especially since Penn State has scored very few touchdowns against FBS teams this season. PSU had dented the end zone only five times against FBS teams before scoring four touchdowns against Minnesota. If Michigan can hold Penn State to a modest 20 points, the Wolverines should have more than enough firepower to win at Beaver Stadium.

Why To Bet On Penn State

The Nittany Lions, for all their woes against Michigan over an extended period of time, are 2-0 against the Wolverines during Michigan coach Rich Rodriguez’s stay in Ann Arbor. Michigan has faltered against Penn State and the rest of the Big Ten because it can’t play any defense at all. Michigan is 80th in the nation in scoring defense, giving up 28.4 points per game. Everyone around the Michigan program is wondering why defensive coordinator Greg Robinson still has a job. Perhaps Matt McGloin is untested as a quarterback, but if there was ever a time for him to make a Big Ten debut, playing at home against an awful Wolverine defense represents as good a time as any.

The other big avenue of opportunity for PSU in this game is that Denard Robinson – as spectacular as he was in the first five games of the season – has played very poorly in his past two games. Michigan has turned the ball over seven times, and Robinson got dinged up in the Wolverines’ home loss to the Iowa Hawkeyes on Oct. 16. Robinson will play this week, but he’s not the same man he was earlier in the season. If Penn State can swipe at least two turnovers, it will be in this game until the final few minutes, and that’s something legendary coach Joe Paterno won’t mind at all.

How The Game Will Play Out

This is a very hard game to figure out because the health of the quarterbacks is such a question mark. We don’t know exactly what we’re going to see, or whom we’re going to see, in this game. All things considered, Penn State needs Robert Bolden to be at his best, while Michigan can still thrive with Tate Forcier backing up Denard Robinson. Give the slight edge to Michigan in a matchup that has a small point spread for a reason.

Michigan Penn State Betting Pick: Michigan Wolverines

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