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BCS Bowl National Championship Betting: LSU And Alabama Clash For National Championship

Posted by Blake Frazier on 12/6/2011 10:22:46 AM
bcs national championship betting

The LSU Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide already met to decide the SEC West Division title. Now they’ll meet again for the right to hold aloft the crystal trophy in New Orleans.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers - Monday, January 9, 2012 Sports betting line: LSU -1 1/2

Why Alabama Will Win

When you do your homework and assess your sports bet on this game, you need to realize that for all of LSU’s successes, the Tigers remain a team quarterbacked by Jordan Jefferson, a man who could not generate one first down in the entire first half of the SEC Championship

Game this past Saturday against Georgia. Jefferson can be electric at times, but he did nothing of note against Georgia and was also silent in the Nov. 5 game against Alabama. Moreover, the Bayou Bengals also came up with game-changing special-teams plays that gave them a needed margin for error in some of their other wins this season. As long as the Crimson Tide don’t allow LSU kick returner Tyrann Mathieu to beat them, they can win a low-scoring game against the Tigers. Alabama’s defense ranks in the top three of several statistical categories; head coach Nick Saban and defensive coordinator Kirby Smart are regarded as two of the best defensive minds in the college game. A team with a great defense and even better defensive strategists should be able to find the game plan that confuses Jefferson once again and makes LSU’s offense crumble. Alabama might not score much against LSU’s fast defense, but the Tigers might score even fewer points against the Crimson Tide.

Why LSU Will Win

The college football betting  experts who study the Southeastern Conference have felt that a rematch for the BCS national title was going to happen. When Oklahoma State lost to Iowa State on November 18 and no other team could fill in the gap, the stars aligned for Alabama to retake the No. 2 spot and find its way into the Louisiana Superdome on the second Monday of January.

The best reason to take LSU in this game is that the Tigers have speed, speed, speed and more speed. It’s not that Alabama’s slow; the Crimson Tide are quite formidable and athletic. However, LSU has placed a particular emphasis on being nimble enough to win every meaningful skirmish on the edges and in both backfields. The fact that LSU opened its season against the ultra-fast Oregon Ducks made the Bayou Bengals acutely aware of the need to be fast in the secondary and at linebacker. LSU thoroughly shut down Oregon’s running game in a 40-27 win that felt like a 25-point win more than a 13-point victory. In this game, the Tigers can take the field against Alabama knowing that they’ve already beaten the Crimson Tide on the road. LSU’s previous two BCS national championships were won in the Superdome before a partisan crowd. The dome-field advantage that marked LSU’s 2004 Sugar Bowl win over Oklahoma and its 2008 BCS National Championship Game win over Ohio State should once again emerge in this contest. LSU also knows that as was the case in the first matchup between these teams on Nov. 5, Alabama quarterback A.J. McCarron will have a tough time fitting the ball into tight windows against the Tigers’ back line of defense. Speed is the currency which will carry a great deal of value for the Tigers in this game. It’s why they have an excellent chance of winning this rematch.

Who Will Win

It’s going to be an old-fashioned SEC slugfest. Neither team should score a lot, because both defenses should be a step ahead of the offenses. More specifically, neither quarterback is dynamic enough to outmaneuver the linebackers and safeties posed by the opposition. The sense here is that Jordan Jefferson will make fewer mistakes than A.J. McCarron. The value of the Superdome can’t be emphasized enough in this game. LSU will be playing a home game.

College Football Betting Pick: LSU

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