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Nevada vs Boise State Betting Odds - Boise State to win, cover, head to BCS

Posted by Tony Bryant on 11/24/2009 2:18:26 PM
football betsThe Nevada vs Boise State betting odds pit two WAC contenders against each other. Boise State is the No. 6 team in the nation, and with a win, they’d likely be BCS-bound. The Broncos haven’t been challenged in recent weeks and this may be their toughest test of the year. Even so, don’t expect a loss. They always dominate on the smurf turf and Friday night will be no different.


Nevada vs Boise State betting odds: Boise State -13.5
WHAT: NCAA football betting
WHEN: Friday, November 27th – 8:00 PM ET
WHERE: Bronco Stadium – Boise, ID
PICK: Boise State -13.5



Nevada vs Boise State betting odds maker breakdown: What’s On The Line
Online betting cappers should recognize that Nevada (8-3, 7-0) is hot right now, and they’re going to be a threat to Boise State. The question is, how serious of a threat are they? The WAC is particularly weak and that’s where Nevada’s wins have come. They have been slapped around in non-conference, which is a telling sign.

For Boise State (11-0, 6-0), this is their most important game of the year. Yes, the win over Oregon was huge but if the Broncos lose this one, that win won’t matter. The Broncos need this game to head to the BCS, and they’ll definitely be focused.

Betting Edge: Boise State


Nevada vs Boise State betting odds maker breakdown: Offense
The Nevada offense is also hot right now, even though NCAA football betting fans may not be able to recognize too many players. The Wolfpack have a ground-oriented attack and have already set school records for rushing yards in a game (574) and in a season (4105). They’re also the first team in NCAA history with three rushers with 1000 yards or more. This team can run. Keep an eye on the turnovers as the Wolfpack are a minus-2 this year – that could haunt them.

For Boise State, their offense is a well-oiled machine right now. Kellen Moore has 33 touchdown passes and just three interceptions on the year, which means he does deserve Heisman merits. He’s coming off a game where he didn’t complete 60% of his passes for the first time. With tailbacks Doug Martin and Jeremy Avery cruising and Titus Young on the outside, this offense is scoring points at an astronomical clip.

Betting Edge: Boise State


Nevada vs Boise State betting odds maker breakdown: Defense
Nevada’s defense is just so-so, and they’ll find out how good they really are against a quality opponent in Boise State this week. They’ve had no problems shutting down weak WAC offenses while their offense is pummeling the opponent, but what will happen in a tight game? This is a team that allowed 35 to Notre Dame, 35 to Colorado State and 31 to Missouri. That may be closer to who they really are.

For Boise State, their defense underachieved a little bit in recent weeks but they essentially sleepwalked through some wins. They still gave up 74 points in three games after giving up just 109 in the first eight games. Nevada’s offense is for real here, and the Broncos defense has to step up at least a few times this week.

Betting Edge: Boise State


Nevada vs Boise State betting odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Both teams are relatively healthy for this game.

Betting Edge: Even


Nevada vs Boise State betting odds breakdown: Outlook and Pick
Sportsbook odds makers have made the Broncos a big favorite for this game, even though this is a WAC showdown. Nevada has won eight straight games, but their credibility has to be questioned since they were pummeled in non-conference play against some weak foes, while Boise State did beat Oregon. The Broncos know what’s on the line here and they don’t lose on their home field. Nevada will try to keep it close but Boise State will force enough turnovers to get the win and cover.

TONY’S PICK: Boise State -13.5


For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit us in the betonline.com Betting Edge every day. For more on the Nevada vs Boise State betting matchup, check out our stats center.

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