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2012 College Football Betting – Oklahoma State And Oklahoma Get Set For Bedlam Battle

Posted by Blake Frazier on 11/22/2012 5:28:18 PM

The Oklahoma Sooners are still in the running for an at-large BCS bowl bid. They have to win at home against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in order to bolster their tenuous position.

Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Oklahoma Sooners – Saturday, November 24    
NCAA football betting line: Oklahoma -7

Why Oklahoma State Will Win

Even an online horse betting guru would look at a box score or two and say that Oklahoma State can outscore Oklahoma in this game. The Sooners entered the 2012 season as a team that was likely to struggle on offense, and at times, OU's offense has indeed failed to get going. The Sooners, when at their worst, sabotage drives with turnovers, bad snaps, and untimely penalties. These mistakes led to OU's two losses in 2012.

However, defense has also become a liability for the Sooners. Oklahoma has allowed 30 points to a low-output Notre Dame offense and 34 to Baylor. Last week, though, OU really cracked on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering 49 points to West Virginia and looking very impotent in the face of the Mountaineers' skill-position speed. Oklahoma is a team that is scrambling to patch up its deficiencies at the moment, and given the fact that Oklahoma State has scored at least 55 points in recent Big 12 wins over West Virginia and Texas Tech, the Cowboys have to think that they should be able to do a lot of damage against the Sooners.

Why Oklahoma Will Win

When a winning poker hand exists, you don't need to be too defensive about the subject, but Oklahoma State needs to be a lot more defensive, so to speak, if it wants to be competitive in this game.

The Sooners have to be encouraged by the fact that Oklahoma State's defense is not what it was last season. Oklahoma State is still giving up a lot of yards, but what made OSU so formidable in 2011 – when the team won the Big 12 Conference championship and then claimed a Fiesta Bowl victory over Stanford – is that the Cowboys were able to force so many turnovers. Someone on head coach Mike Gundy's defense was consistently able to make a play in a big moment. That knack for producing the timely takeaway has not existed to the same extent in 2012, and Oklahoma State has fallen in the Big 12 standings.

It's true that Oklahoma State has done quite well this season, considering the rash of injuries the Cowboys have had to deal with. Gundy and his staff have demonstrated noticeable dexterity and adaptability in the face of several mini-crises. Yet, when one has to compare these two teams, Oklahoma State's defense is just not ready to handle Oklahoma's offense on the Sooners' home turf in Norman, Okla. This is a year when Oklahoma State needed to play the Bedlam Series game at home, and that's not the case.

Who Will Win

It’s true that in most Oklahoma games, the performance of Landry Jones is the barometer, the determinant of whether the Sooners win or lose. Jones should play well against Oklahoma State's frail defense. Pick Oklahoma.

College Football Betting Pick: Oklahoma -7

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