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Ole Miss vs Memphis Odds - Underrated Tigers to play with overrated Rebels

Posted by Blake Frazier on 4/18/2012 9:25:51 AM
bet on college footballThe Ole Miss vs Memphis odds matchup is one we’ve gotten used to seeing since the schools are only about an hour apart. The Rebels will hope to improve on their 46-10-2 all-time record against the Tigers, and although online betting sharps might think that an SEC school versus a Conference USA school would produce a blowout, Memphis is underrated. Look for them to keep it tight with the Rebels.

Ole Miss vs Memphis odds: Ole Miss -16

  • WHAT: NCAA Football betting
  • WHEN: Sunday, September 6th – 3:30 PM ET
  • WHERE: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium – Memphis, TN
  • PICK: Memphis +16

Ole Miss vs Memphis odds maker breakdown: What’s On The Line
Expectations at The Grove are bigger than they have been in nearly four decades. The Rebels are ranked No. 8 in the preseason poll, and the words ‘national championship’ have been thrown around. There is clearly more on the line for them in this game, but that could mean unnecessary pressure against a rival.

For Memphis, they’ll be loosey-goosey in this game, but they could be a handful for the Rebels. The Tigers haven’t fared well in September games recently and it is important for the program to get off to a good start. Even a close loss will be a win – in some ways – for the Tigers.

Betting Edge: Ole Miss

Ole Miss vs Memphis odds maker breakdown: Offense
To the casual fan, the Rebels appear to have the better offense – and they do – but this is a closer matchup than meets the eye. Quarterback Jevan Sneed may be the best pocket passer in the nation and he’s got weapons on the outside, such as Shay Hodge and Dexter McCluster. The Rebels have a deep backfield although no feature back has emerged yet.

For Memphis, they have an offense with plenty of skill but a lot of their players have racked up yards in C-USA. That’s a little different than playing in the SEC. Nonetheless, their no-huddle spread offense - which includes quarterback Arkelon Hall, running back Curtis Steele and talented wideouts Carlos Singleton and Duke Calhoun - could give the Rebels some fits. Also, the Rebels had the worst pass defense in the SEC last year, and NCAA football betting fans will get to find out if it has improved at all.

Betting Edge: Ole Miss

Ole Miss vs Memphis odds maker breakdown: Defense
The defensive edge goes to Ole Miss in this contest. Defensive end Greg Hardy could be the best in the nation, and the basic rule of thumb is that any SEC defense will be better than any C-USA defense.

Seven starters are back for the Tigers on a defense that ranked third in the conference last year. The secondary is an issue as they only picked off seven passes in 13 games last year, which obviously isn’t enough. They’ll have to get some turnovers if they want to win this game.

Betting Edge: Ole Miss

Ole Miss vs Memphis odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Both teams are in good shape heading into this game.

Betting Edge: Even

Ole Miss vs Memphis State betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
The Rebels are 2-1 in their last three games at Memphis, but those wins were by four points or less. Ole Miss will have a big fan base making the short trip for support – and to make it a hostile environment for Memphis – but even so, look for the Tigers to put up a fight in this game. They might not win this contest, but sportsbook odds makers are asking Rebels to cover 16 points here and that is too tall of an order.

BLAKE’S PICK: Tigers +16

For sports betting analysis and betting tips, check out the Betting Edge daily and for more on the Ole Miss vs Memphis matchup, check out our stats center.

Blake walked onto his college football team and had a brief stint as an assistant coach after he graduated. He brings a sharp mind to the world of sports handicapping. Blake understands the nuances of the game that only someone who has played would understand. Thoughts or questions?



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