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Oregon State Brigham Young Betting Tips – Beavers And Cougars Meet In Likely Low-Scoring Game

Posted by Blake Frazier on 10/8/2012 6:44:12 PM

The Oregon State Beavers are one of the more unexpected unbeaten teams in the country. The Brigham Young Cougars have the kind of defense that can give them their first loss of the year.

Oregon State Beavers @ Brigham Young Cougars – Saturday, October 13    
Online sports betting line: BYU -3

Why Oregon State Will Win

Few college football betting experts thought Oregon State was primed for a big year, but as the second weekend of October arrives, look who's unbeaten for the season?  The Beavers have been one of the most pleasant surprises in college football this season. After missing out on a bowl game each of the past two years, the Beavers have rallied this year to regain their winning edge and become a factor once again in the Pac-12 Conference. Oregon State quarterback Sean Mannion, after struggling so profoundly in 2011, has come into his own this season.

Mannion is newly confident and poised, a pillar of mental toughness and a bona fide leader in Oregon State's offensive huddle. Mannion is fitting passes into tight windows. He is making the proper reads, and he is generally doing everything that head coach Mike Riley hoped he would do before this season began. Oregon State's offense is balanced, effective and smart, the fruit of Mannion's development as a pocket passer.
The Beavers have all the tools they need to win this game. They will be helped by the fact that Brigham Young's promising freshman quarterback, Taysom Hill, will not play in this game due to injury. Hill gave BYU more of a shot to win this game than his replacement, former starter Riley Nelson, who did not make the grade in September as the leader of the Cougars' offense.

Why Brigham Young Will Win

The best betting reason to take the Cougars in this game is that they can completely shut down their opponent. Oregon State's offense will receive a significant test against Brigham Young. The Cougars have one of the best defenses in the country, thanks in large part to the wisdom and energy of head coach Bronco Mendenhall, a former defensive coordinator who has recruited players who are extremely compatible with his defense at BYU. The Cougars are extremely physical. They fly to the ball and make great reactions. They play with a seamlessness and passion that make them particularly formidable on defense. They don't take plays off, and they've shown a relentlessness that makes it difficult for opposing offenses to establish leverage against them in the third and fourth quarters of games. BYU is likely to contain Oregon State when all is said and done.

The key matchup in this game will be the one between BYU's mediocre offense and Oregon State's less-than-fully-proven defense. Oregon State's defense got shredded by Arizona a few weeks ago, but Arizona is a team that can throw the ball well. BYU is a run-first team, with running quarterback Riley Nelson still learning how to be an effective dropback passer as his collegiate career moves along. If Oregon State's defense can impose its will on BYU's offense, the Beavers should win, but one might respond by saying that Nelson will make enough plays to tilt the action in the Cougars' favor.

Who Will Win

Ultimately, the fact that Nelson is in this game instead of freshman Taysom Hill – who got injured late in BYU's win over Utah State last Friday night – will cripple the Cougars' offense. Nelson looked horrible in his most recent outing against Boise State a few weeks ago, and Oregon State's defense will do just enough to take advantage. This should be an extremely low-scoring game, but Oregon State should find a way to dig out a narrow victory.

College Football Betting Pick: Oregon State

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