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Predictions For Betting On LSU Auburn – LSU Enters The SEC Portion Of Its Season

Posted by Blake Frazier on 9/17/2012 6:45:33 PM

The LSU Tigers and the Auburn Tigers are familiar SEC West Division rivals. They are headed in distinctly different directions as they renew their backyard feud this Saturday evening.

LSU Tigers @ Auburn Tigers – Saturday, September 22    
Betting line: LSU -18.5

Why LSU Will Win

Legal online sports betting analysts might be focusing on the NFL or the Major League Baseball playoff races, but they could still tell you, with a general level of awareness, that Auburn is not playing very well this season. Indeed, the best and foremost reason to pick LSU in this contest is not connected to the boys from Louisiana. The number one reason to pick the Bayou Bengals over the Plainsmen is that Auburn is a team in decline.
Auburn actually acquitted itself well in a season-opening loss to defending ACC champion Clemson, but ever since, the "other" Tigers have fallen precipitously. Auburn got drubbed at Mississippi State, scoring only 10 points in a pathetic offensive performance. The Tigers then escaped by a whisker against Sun Belt foe Louisiana-Monroe, in a game played at Auburn's Jordan-Hare Stadium.

Quarterback Kiehl Frazier is simply not picking up the position; he's not making the right reads, and his passing has been quite inaccurate for most of the season. Auburn's toothless offense is ripe for the plucking against LSU's fire-breathing defense. LSU's front seven is physically imposing; it's the one front seven that can compete with Alabama's front seven on relatively even terms. Auburn might play a great game on defense, but it's going to be very hard to see how Auburn's offense will be able to score anything more than 13 points in this game, and if that's the case, LSU is almost certainly going to win.

Why Auburn Will Win

When NCAA football betting gurus look at this game and consider the ways in which Auburn might pull off a shocking upset, they're going to hone in on one very simple but obvious point: LSU's quarterback situation, a mess last year with Jordan Jefferson and Jarrett Lee, could blow up in the Bayou Bengals' faces this season as well.

LSU has a new sheriff under center, signal caller Zach Mettenberger. LSU has played three games so far this season, all of them at home. This is the first road game for Mettenberger, who is going to get his baptism in the fires of Southeastern Conference competition. It's quite possible that Mettenberger will play a very shaky game on the road, giving timely turnovers to Auburn's defense and thereby reshaping the competitive calculus in this tilt. If Mettenberger is not up to the challenge in this game, Auburn – with takeaways on defense and a pinch of magic on special teams as well – can prevail even without a big night from its offense. That's the evident pathway for Auburn on Saturday.

Who Will Win

It’s very likely that LSU will win, and yet with the Bayou Bengals' limitations at quarterback, it's also a good bet that Auburn will be able to cover the number.

College Football Betting Pick: Auburn

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