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Purdue Notre Dame Betting Predictions – Notre Dame Needs An Offense It Can Trust Versus Purdue

Posted by Blake Frazier on 9/4/2012 2:16:15 AM

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish don't yet know if they have a quarterback who can unlock the full talents of their offense. A team in search of improvement will take the field against Purdue.

Purdue Boilermakers @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Saturday, September 8    
Betting line: No line

Why Purdue Will Win

Legal online sports betting analysts will not deny the limitations and weaknesses found in Notre Dame's offense, especially in scoring territory. In the red zone, Notre Dame turned the ball over seven times, second only to Southern Methodist. The quarterbacks were primarily to blame for this awful track record: Various signal callers were responsible for 23 of the 29 turnovers (17 interceptions and six fumbles lost). Over the last five seasons, only six BCS schools (those from the top six power conferences) had a worse red-zone turnover percentage than Notre Dame’s 5.5 percent.

There's really not much more to be said about the matter. The red-zone turnovers that plagued Notre Dame do not represent an empty statistic. The Irish, in 2011, committed most of their turnovers in the games they lost – at home against South Florida in the season opener, at Michigan, at Stanford, and versus Florida State in the Champs Sports Bowl. Coach Brian Kelly has not found a proven and reliable quarterback. Until he does, Notre Dame will be supremely vulnerable on the field. The Fighting Irish can lose to a Purdue team that won a bowl game last year and is better than the Purdue teams of 2009 and 2010.

Why Notre Dame Will Win

When NCAA football betting gurus break down this game, they're going to lean to Notre Dame because of their assessments of the team the Fighting Irish are playing this weekend. The central reason Purdue achieved what it did in 2011 was simply that the Boilermakers played a lot of mediocre teams. Only the bowl win over Western Michigan – a team that finished 7-6 in the Mid-American Conference, the tenth-best league in the 11-league Football Bowl Subdivision – gave Purdue a victory over a winning team last season.

The Boilermakers' other six victims did not possess winning records. Even the Ohio State team the Boilers knocked off last November finished 6-7 after a .500 regular season, gutted by the departure of coach Jim Tressel and the suspensions of the so-called "Tat Five," a quintet of OSU players allowed to play in the previous season's Sugar Bowl game against Arkansas. Purdue did not register a single victory of appreciable consequence in a larger context. The Boilermakers lost to a vulnerable Iowa side and a Penn State team that was far from imposing. An upper-tier Big Ten team would have won at least nine times against the 13-team field Purdue played last season. If this program wants to prove itself to the rest of the Big Ten, the 2011 body of work won't cut it.

Who Will Win

It’s doubtful that Purdue has enough offense to win this game. The Boilermakers will be resilient and feisty on defense, but if they can't do anything against Notre Dame's fast and athletic defense, they won't be able to win. Purdue's lack of overall quality will matter in this clash. Pick the Fighting Irish.

College Football Betting Pick: Notre Dame

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