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College Football Betting: Texas Longhorns vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview

Posted by The Wiesguy on 9/2/2015 11:02:09 PM

Two of the most storied programs in America connect in this one...and both have a lot to prove. For Texas it's simple, the program has fallen on some relatively tough times. A win over The Irish on the road against a ranked opponent would signal that they just might be on the track back to relevancy. For the Irish, this is the first chance they have to show that any type of playoff hype is justified. A loss is likely season over in that regard.

Texas Longhorns vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Saturday September 5

8:30PM

Notre Dame Stadium - South Bend, Indiana

Notre Dame -9.5, 50.5

Texas

I am sure those in Austin are writing essays about why the Longhorns have been struggling lately but it is simple. They have not been able to find a reliable quarterback since Colt McCoy. Sure some other position groups and players have not lived up to expectations too but in the modern game you can't overcome a sinkhole at QB, which is what they have. The bad news is that they still don't have an answer. Maybe that changes in a few weeks but until it does Texas is going to be a tough team to back even though they have next level calibre players on defense and plenty of skill to make an offense go. They are lacking that most important piece.

Notre Dame

The Irish think they have that cog in Malik Zaire. Some early returns have been very positive but he is far from a proven commodity at thIs stage of his career. If Texas had Zaire on the roster they would be hailing the return of the Longhorns. That is because the talent surrounding him would be more impressive than what Zaire actually has in South Bend. Others are saying otherwise but I do not see Notre Dame as having an elite defense and the offense is not overwhelming enough to cover for some Zaire inconsistency, which seems likely given his lack of experience. I am very curious to see how this team comes out in the first game. They are a real Wild Card in all of the playoff permutations.

Prediction: This game is in South Bend so there is no surprise the Irish are significant favourites. However, since they are not going to push around Texas physically and have some questions to be answered, I think the oddsmakers are giving them too much respect. Texas should be able to keep this one within a single score and if they can get defensive or return TD they might just upset a Notre Dame that will be better as the season progresses.

Texas +9.5

Betting Trends:

Under is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 road games.

Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Over is 5-0 in Fighting Irish last 5 non-conference games.

Over is 5-0 in Fighting Irish last 5 games on grass.

Over is 6-0 in Fighting Irish last 6 games overall.

Injuries:

Texas

None

Notre Dame

DL Jarron Jones - Out

WR CJ Prosise - Probable

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