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Tips For Betting On South Carolina Clemson – Bragging Rights And Bowl Bids Hang In The Balance

Posted by Blake Frazier on 11/21/2012 5:28:31 PM

The Clemson Tigers have a shot at an at-large BCS bowl bid, but they have to beat the South Carolina Gamecocks this weekend if they want to punch a premium postseason ticket.

South Carolina Gamecocks @ Clemson Tigers – Saturday, November 24    
Sport betting line:

Why South Carolina Will Win

In much the same way that river cards surprise onlookers at any of several online casino games, the South Carolina Gamecocks will try to surprise themselves this weekend. It's true that the Gamecocks have not played very well on the road this season, but they're hoping that their three-game winning streak over their archrival will translate into a confident and crisp effort this Saturday. South Carolina's skill players need to be on top of their game this week. The Gamecocks don't have running back Marcus Lattimore; the injury to their star ballcarrier means that the receivers, especially Bruce Ellington, must make above-average catches in traffic and especially in the red zone. With standout performances from their receivers, the Gamecocks can throw the ball and exploit a Clemson defense that allowed 48 points this past weekend to North Carolina State.

The combination of Clemson's weakness on defense and South Carolina's defensive strength – specifically its front four and the pass rushing prowess it can provide – gives the Gamecocks a number of matchup advantages they can maximize to great effect. As long as South Carolina shows poise under pressure, especially in the person of quarterback Connor Shaw, it can deliver the goods and score an emphatic win that would make this season an acceptable one for the Gamecocks.

Why Clemson Will Win

When football betting students break down this contest, they will certainly note that Clemson's defense will have a chance to rattle Shaw, the South Carolina quarterback who plays so well at home but so poorly on the road.

Indeed, the foremost reason why Clemson has such a good chance to win this contest is that Shaw simply hasn't played particularly well in any South Carolina road game this season. From the season opener at Vanderbilt to the shaky late-September win at Kentucky to the disappointing road losses at LSU and Florida in October, Shaw has just not been able to put all the pieces together. He fails to see the field and make the right reads. He doesn't respond to the pass rush or feel the ways in which a play is changing as it evolves. Shaw makes such good decisions in home games, but road games turn him into a different quarterback. Clemson's offense should be able to land its share of blows against South Carolina's defense, which got torched by the vertical passing of the Tennessee Volunteers and quarterback Tyler Bray a few weeks ago. As long as Clemson can get a few turnovers from Shaw and limit the damage South Carolina's offense can create, the Tigers should like their chances.

Who Will Win

It’s true that Connor Shaw might fare better in a rivalry game against an ACC opponent, but the odds still suggest that Shaw will struggle away from home. Clemson should therefore win.

College Football Betting Pick: Clemson

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