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NFL Betting: The Best Defense Against The Best Offense In Cold Weather For The Title

Posted by Stan Simmons on 2/2/2014 8:01:47 AM

The Super Bowl is a matchup of number one seeds, and it’s a matchup of the top defense and the top offense from a statistical perspective. This is a heavyweight confrontation in every way.

Super Bowl XLVIII
Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos – Sunday, February 2

Betting line: Broncos -1

Why Seattle Will Win

This is the Seahawks’ moment to win their first Super Bowl. Seattle is in great position to win this game on a number of levels.

What also has to be said is that while Seattle’s offense is still struggling, it could benefit a great deal from bad-weather conditions in East Rutherford, N.J. The early long-range weather forecast for the game calls for temperatures somewhere in the mid-30s at kickoff time (which is 6:30 p.m. Eastern time), with an outside possibility of snow flurries. Temperatures would drop as the game goes deeper into the night, creating the kind of environment in which the Seahawks’ power running attack could overwhelm Denver’s defensive line. Marshawn Lynch is a tougher running back than any running back the Broncos faced in the AFC playoffs.

The bad weather might include gusty winds, though that’s hard to predict at this point. It is a fascinating football betting question, though: If the winds are severe, can Peyton Manning throw the ball down the field with any success against Seattle’s cornerbacks? If he can’t, Seattle gains a big advantage.

Why Denver Will Win

The Broncos were the best team on Sunday – no, not just against the New England Patriots, but of all four teams that played in conference championship games. Denver was physical on both sides of the ball. Its rush defense was superb, its pass defense held up, and its offensive line was extremely good. Peyton Manning played at the height of his powers, and one has to remember that as long as there aren’t significant winds at MetLife Stadium, the NFL’s best passer should be able to throw the ball where he wants when he wants to throw it. Manning is in such control of himself and the Denver offense right now. It is so hard to outsmart him on the field. Seattle has to develop a powerful pass rush that can punish Denver’s offensive line and simply rob Manning of time. However, as long as Manning gets time, it’s unlikely that he’s going to make mistakes in terms of his choices and reactions. Assuming that Seattle can’t take the ball away from Manning, Denver should be able to get its fair share of points – maybe not 30, but at least 24 or 27, and with the way Seattle’s offense has been struggling, 27 points probably stands to be enough for the Broncos to win.

Who Will Win

It is true that the Seahawks have a fantastic defense, but their offense seems to be in trouble against a Denver defense that is finding people to play well in place of injured starters such as Von Miller and Chris Harris. The Broncos are the legitimately better team and will win.

NFL Betting Pick: Broncos -1

Get the latest inside skinny on Super Bowl lines at the online betting site you prefer.



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