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49ers vs Packers Betting Odds - Green Bay "D" turning a corner, will stifle Niners

Posted by Stan Simmons on 11/18/2009 1:36:46 PM
NFL betting49ers vs Packers betting odds don't carry the same importance they did in the late 90s, but this is still a crucial game for the 2010 playoff race. Green Bay has see-sawed throughout the season while San Francisco looks worn down. Sports betting fans should lean with the Packers this weekend.

49ers vs Packers betting odds: Packers -6.5 (TOTAL: 42)
WHAT: NFL betting
WHEN: Sunday, Nov. 22 at 1:00 p.m. ET
WHERE: Lambeau Field
KEY STAT: Green Bay had five sacks last week
PICK: Packers -6.5

49ers vs Packers betting odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
Green Bay bounced back from two straight losses to knock off the Cowboys 17-7 last week. The defense played excellent and the lone touchdown came in garbage time. Now, Green Bay must take advantage of the Niners and Lions in consecutive weeks before hosting Baltimore on Monday night.

San Fran snapped a four-game losing streak by squeaking past Chicago 10-6. Many believe the Niners were worn out in training camp and preseason by head coach Mike Singletary. He's earned their respect, but they might not have much left in the tank to make a playoff push.

49ers vs Packers betting odds maker breakdown: Offense
The Packers rank seventh in the NFL at 25.8 points per game, but they aren't as good as that number might indicate. Green Bay continues to struggling protecting Aaron Rodgers—and he's partly to blame—which leads to failure in crucial moments. This unit will score but fail to reach maximum potential until the blocking problems are resolved.

The 49ers continue relying on Frank Gore to carry the offense. He carried 25 times for 104 yards and a score in the win over Chicago, making it three straight games with a touchdown. The passing game remains a serious handicap; Alex Smith mustered just 118 yards and a pick against the Bears.

Betting Edge: Packers

49ers vs Packers betting odds maker breakdown: Defense
Green Bay's "D" may have turned a corner against Dallas after recording five sacks, two fumble recoveries and an interception. This unit won't be confused with the Steelers but it's more than capable of producing big plays. If the Packers can maintain the level of play they displayed against Dallas, look out.

San Francisco's defense basically won game Chicago game single-handed, picking off Jay Cutler five times. It also stuffed Matt Forte all night, holding him to 41 yards on 20 carries. The 49ers have been exposed against the pass, though—they only have 17 sacks this year—so Rodgers could pose a problem.

Betting Edge: Niners

49ers vs Packers betting odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Niners linebacker Takeo Spikes has a sore hamstring from last week's game; he's questionable. Green Bay was without linebacker Aaron Kampman last week, but he should return from his concussion in Week 11. Rodgers should get tight end Jermichael Finley back (knee).

Betting Edge: Packers

49ers vs Packers betting odds for total: 42
With both defense playing well right now, and Green Bay's offense prone to serious lapses, your safe bet it taking the under at the sportsbook.

Pick: UNDER 42

49ers vs Packers betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
Green Bay looked much improved against Dallas, particularly on defense. Perhaps the young Packers are finally focused and ready to put things together. San Fran should run the ball effectively but a lack of passing game limits the offense. Rodgers, meanwhile, should have some success against the Niners secondary. Bet on Green Bay to narrowly cover.

STAN'S PICK: Packers -6.5

Surf the Betting Edge football section for more analysis and picks on Week 11 NFL matchups, including 49ers vs Packers odds.



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