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Patriots vs Bills betting odds – Patriots will play well in face of criticism

Posted by Stan Simmons on 12/18/2009 2:22:12 PM

NFL Odds: Pick Patriots -7

The Patriots vs Bills betting odds sets up an AFC East matchup that has plenty of playoff implications. The Patriots need to keep winning to keep the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets off of their back for the AFC East lead. Online betting cappers have heard a lot criticism being fired towards the Patriots this week – especially wide receiver Randy Moss – so expect the Patriots to respond in a big way.

Sportsbook Odds: Patriots -7, O/U: 41

What’s On The Line?
The Buffalo Bills don’t have much to play for except to be a spoiler. They have actually been competitive since Perry Fewell took over, splitting their four games and nearly winning in their two losses.

For New England, they need to win to keep their one-game buffer over the Dolphins and the Jets. They started the year 6-2 but have lost three of their last five games. A loss to the Bills would indicate that this team is truly not a Super Bowl contender this year.

Offensive Matchups: Patriots vs Bills betting odds
The Patriots are being reamed out this week because they barely slid by the lousy Carolina Panthers last week. The truth is they played a sloppy game and had they not turned it over so much, they would have rolled the Panthers by two or three touchdowns. This offense has been out of rhythm for weeks but a matchup against one of the league’s bottom-tier defenses will cure that.

NFL betting fans have seen a spark in the Bills offense since Ryan Fitzpatrick took over the reins but the numbers still aren’t pretty. He has hit some big plays down the field but he only has a total of 186 passing yards in the last two weeks. The Bills running attack is spotty as well so as long as this unit doesn’t get extra opportunities, they won’t be doing much damage.

Betting Edge: Patriots

Defensive Matchups: Patriots vs Bills betting odds
The Patriots defense has been a big sore spot for the team this year. Granted, they’ve played some tough competition this year but they have had trouble slowing down any quality offenses. Their biggest issue has been the pass rush, which has generated just 22 sacks (27th in the NFL). They are going up against a porous offensive line, which might help them out this week.

The Bills defense hasn’t been particularly good this year, but they have been opportunistic. They have the 25th-ranked defense but they lead the league with 25 interceptions. Their secondary does a very good job considering the pass rush isn’t always steady. The main flaw is the run defense, which ranks dead last in the NFL allowing 170 rushing yards per game.

Betting Edge: Patriots

Notable Injuries: Patriots vs Bills betting odds
Both teams are relatively healthy heading into this game.

Betting Edge: Even

Over/Under Picks: Patriots vs Bills betting odds
The Patriots passing game has struggled recently especially last week as Randy Moss had a no-show but they won’t have to rely on the passing game this week. The Patriots will run Laurence Maroney into the ground this week as they are facing the league’s worst run defense and they won’t worry too much about passing the ball. That should keep this game under

Pick: Under 41

Outlook and Pick: Patriots vs Bills betting
The Patriots passing game is struggling and the offense is out of rhythm, but that won’t be a problem this week. This week’s game will be all about the running game as the Patriots will feed Maroney and Sammy Morris all they can handle. The Bills league-worst rushing defense will be very welcoming and once the safeties move up, then the Patriots will get Moss involved en route to an impressive win.

STAN'S PICK: Patriots -7

Visit the Betting Edge for all your sports betting analysis, including Patriots vs Bills betting odds and many other NFL matchups.



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