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Bet Giants Packers – Pack Attack Giants At Lambeau

Posted by Stan Simmons on 1/10/2012 4:29:11 PM
bet giants packers

Green Bay still have to be the online betting favorites to defend their Super Bowl title, and they’ll begin their playoff run at home against the New York Giants, who they have already defeated this season on the road. Look for the Packers to do it again, but this game won’t be as close as the first meeting.

What: NFL Betting
When: Sunday, January 15th, 4:30 PM ET
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Pick: Green Bay Packers -8

Why Bet On New York Giants (10-7 SU, 9-7-1 ATS)

The Giants’ defense has dominated over the last three weeks and they came up big once again in a 24-2 romp over Atlanta at home in the wild-card round, and even though they had just two sacks, the Giants were in Matt Ryan’s face all day long. They stopped the Falcons on a few short situations on third and fourth down, and the Giants were able to turn around and convert them into points. Eli Manning was 23-of-32 for 277 yards and three touchdowns, and the ground game continued to roll as the Giants racked up 172 yards on the ground. Even though they finished 32nd in the league in rushing, the Giants’ ground game has gained steam over the last couple of weeks and they’ll need this in Green Bay to keep the Packers off-balance, even though the Giants may aim to target the Green Bay secondary.

Running back D.J. Ware (concussion) and cornerback Aaron Ross (concussion) both left the Atlanta game and will have to be cleared to play this week, so watch the injury report. The Packers should be worried about the Giants as this isn’t the same team they beat 38-35 on the road in New York in Week 13. In particular, the defense wasn’t as dominant up front and Aaron Rodgers was allowed to make plays inside and outside of the pocket. This unit is looking eerily similar to the group that led the Giants to the Super Bowl a few years ago, and that may be their only chance because we’re not sure they want to get into a shootout with Green Bay.

Why Bet On Green Bay Packers (15-1 SU, 11-5 ATS)

The loss in Kansas City during Week 15’s action may have been the best thing for the Packers as it took a lot of pressure off regarding the possibility of an undefeated season. Now, it’s almost as though some NFL betting players are underestimating the defending champions, and that is dangerous….incredibly dangerous. Rodgers still has to be the favorite for the MVP, although New Orleans’ Drew Brees has definitely turned it into a two-horse race. Rodgers still led the league in passer rating and even had the luxury of sitting out the finale against Detroit, and don’t let Matt Flynn’s big game that day trick you into thinking that Rodgers is a “system quarterback”; quite frankly, that is ridiculous. One thing is for sure, though: he has a slew of weapons in the passing game, and receiver Greg Jennings returns from injury to lead the way.
The Packers are 27th in the league on the ground, but the running game in Green Bay is only there to help run down the clock later in games and maybe on a few short plays. The defense has been much maligned, finishing last in yards per game allowed, but they’re tried with San Francisco in total takeaways and they’re second in turnover margin, which keeps them in games.

Running back James Starks (ankle) was a hero in last year’s Super Bowl run, but he is a question mark this week for the Packers, who will need to run the ball to slow down the Giants’ pass rush. The Packers’ offensive line has been banged up throughout the season and even though they appear to be healthy now, they have to win the battle with the Giants’ line, or at least take them to a draw, giving Rodgers the time he needs to find his targets.

Why Bet On Green Bay Packers (15-1 SU, 11-5 ATS)

NFL betting odds have the Packers favored by nine points at home, where they are 7-1 ATS this season, while the Giants are 5-3 ATS on the road. New York has visited Lambeau five times since 1985, going 2-3 SU and ATS in those games, with three games going over the posted total. However, the Packers are out for revenge after losing 23-20 at home in the 2008 playoffs to the Giants, who went on to win the Super Bowl that year. The Packers romped to a 45-17 win in 2010, but this is the real rematch, given what is on the line.

While the first meeting was close, this won’t be as tight as the Packers are excellent at Lambeau and it could be close for the first half, but eventually Rodgers and the Packers will pull away in the second half. Manning has had a fantastic season, but he has shown some lapses down the stretch and he wasn’t that great for the first half (or more) in the Atlanta game. Green Bay is rested and at home, and they should e able to cruise to a sports betting victory at Lambeau. 

Giants Packers Betting Pick: Green Bay Packers

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