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Bills vs Chiefs Betting Odds - Cassel, Fitzpatrick struggling

Posted by Stan Simmons on 12/10/2009 3:51:28 PM

NFL Odds: Pick Bills -1

NFL betting linesBills vs Chiefs betting odds favor Buffalo by just a point, and with good reason. These teams are nearly identical statistically and on the field. Both have struggling offenses led by underachieving quarterbacks, and both are susceptible to the run. Big plays should make the difference in this game, so who should sports betting fans go with?

Bills vs Chiefs betting odds: Bills -1 (TOTAL: 37)
WHAT: NFL betting
WHEN: Sunday, December 13 at 1:00 p.m. ET
WHERE: Arrowhead Stadium
KEY STAT: Kansas City has lost its last two games by 60 combined points

Bills vs Chiefs betting odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
Buffalo and Kansas City aren't vying for much other than a top-five pick in the 2010 draft. They're struggled on both sides of the ball and are holding down last place in their respective divisions. At this point, they're simply trying to build for the future. Buffalo is coming off a 19-13 loss to the Jets, while Kansas City has dropped two in a row, including last week's 44-13 loss to Denver.

Bills vs Chiefs betting odds maker breakdown: Offense
Kansas City's trade for Matt Cassel has been a complete bust so far. Their so-called "quarterback of the future" has struggled badly this season, throwing 13 touchdowns, nine interceptions and just 1982 yards - a paltry 180 per game. With the offense incapable of stretching the field, the Chiefs are averaging just 16.3 points per game.

Buffalo is only a hair better at 16.6 per game and has experienced similar problems under center. Ryan Fitzpatrick has taken over the reins but the Bills have managed 15 points or fewer in two of his last three starts - both losses.

Betting Edge: Even

Bills vs Chiefs betting odds maker breakdown: Defense
The Chiefs' "D" has been carved up by the pass; it's allowing 250 yards per game through the air with just eight interceptions on the season. That means Terrell Owens should find some soft spots. On the ground, K.C. is being gouged for 143 rush yards per game.

Rookie safety Jairus Byrd leads Buffalo's fourth-ranked pass defense; he has eight interceptions on the year. Of course, pass defense is the real issue in Buffalo - the Bills are dead last in stopping the run this season.

Betting Edge: Even

Bills vs Chiefs betting odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
It's been a tough season for Buffalo, with 14 players hitting injured reserve. The front seven has been hit especially hard. Now John McCargo (calf) and Chris Draft (shoulder) can be added to that list. Kansas City recently shut down Kolby Smith for the season, but Jamaal Charles was playing well at running back anyway.

Betting Edge: Chiefs

Bills vs Chiefs betting odds for total: 37
These are two very, very bad offenses. Neither can the throw the ball worth a lick, though each has some semblance of a rushing attack. Expect many handoffs, a constantly ticking clock, and very few points on the board. Bet the under at your sportsbook.

Pick: UNDER 37

Bills vs Chiefs betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
There's little doubt this will be an ugly game, especially with two mediocre-to-awful quarterbacks suiting up. Buffalo is at least competing right now, though. The Bills' last two losses came by a total of nine points; Kansas City dropped its last two games by 60. Look for both teams to run the ball relatively effectively, but Terrell Owens to make a few big plays to make the difference.

STAN'S PICK: Bills -1

Bills vs Chiefs odds - and all the Week 14 NFL odds - can be in the sportsbook.



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