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Bills Texans Betting Tips – Texans Must Avoid Complacency Against Bills

Posted by Tony Bryant on 10/31/2012 5:56:25 PM

The Houston Texans have more weapons and more strength than the Buffalo Bills, but professional football shows that results aren't automatic. Teams must earn their results.

Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans – Sunday, November 4    

Betting line: Houston -10.5

Why Buffalo Will Win

When football betting gurus look at this contest, they're going to point out that Houston is without one of its more dependable defenders, linebacker Brian Cushing. The Texans owned a more rugged and bruising defense with Cushing in the middle to clean up messes if running backs ever did get past the first point of contact. Cushing's absence makes Houston's defense noticeably weaker, and this is why the Bills have a legitimate shot of competing in this game.

Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick is not an elite quarterback by any means, but part of life in the NFL shows that the ebb and flow of seasons – defined in many ways by injuries – reshapes the competitive calculus on a weekly basis, giving teams chances to win that didn't exist before. If this game had been played before the Cushing injury, Houston would have been a huge favorite. Now, one can't be quite as sure. The Bills' offense has shown signs of life in recent weeks, and if Buffalo can score in the mid-20s, there are no guarantees that the Texas will be able to stroll to the easy victory that many people are expecting.

Why Houston Will Win

Various online sports betting legal outlets are going to give more favorable odds to Houston in this game, and with good reason. The Texans' offense has been extremely good this season, primarily because it owns the best running back in the league, Arian Foster. The Texans' offensive line is winning most battles at the line of scrimmage, and when Houston is able to establish the run, defenses load up the tackle box. Houston quarterback Matt Schaub sees that the line of scrimmage is crowded. He can observe the man-to-man coverage his receivers are getting on the edges. He can use play-action fakes to freeze linebackers and safeties, opening up long passes down the field and intermediate-range passes just behind the middle linebacker. When Houston is able to run the ball, it can then put defenses at its mercy.

Buffalo's defense has been a huge disappointment this year. The Bills were supposed to be very formidable on this side of the ball thanks to their acquisition of pass rusher Mario Williams… from Houston. The Bills have not been able to throttle opposing offenses or rattle opposing quarterbacks. The matchup between Buffalo's defense and Houston's offense is a mismatch in favor of the Texans. It would be surprising if Houston is unable to score at least 30 points in this game. Playing at home, Schaub should find himself in a comfort zone, and that's going to extend throughout the Houston roster against a clearly mediocre opponent.

Who Will Win

If there's any chance that Buffalo will keep this game close, it's hard to see it. Houston is simply in another league compared to the Bills. The Texans will roll.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Houston


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