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Bills vs Packers Odds - Packers will be victorious in battle of new schemes

Posted by Stan Simmons on 4/18/2012 11:24:46 AM
NFL oddsNFL betting players have seen Green Bay and Buffalo go through some changes in the preseason, and Saturday’s game will feature the Bills’ offense going back to an old staple against a Green Bay defense looking to be more aggressive. With an injured superstar out for the Bills, the Packers get the betting edge at home.

Bills vs Packers Odds: Packers -3

  • WHAT: NFL preseason betting action
  • WHEN: Saturday, August 22, 8:00 PM ET
  • WHERE: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
  • PICK: Green Bay

Bills vs Packers Odds maker breakdown: Offense

Buffalo’s offense was efficient in a 27-20 victory over Chicago, although they did commit three turnovers. Four quarterbacks, working the “new” no-huddle offense, combined to go 29-of-34 for 252 yards, a touchdown and a pick, and the Bills held the ball for 38 minutes. The Packers rolled up 392 yards on lowly Cleveland in a 17-0 win, and the ground game was particularly on fire, rushing for 230 yards. The only worry came from second-year pivot Brian Brohm, who was 3-of-10 for 18 yards and a pair of picks.

Betting Edge: Buffalo

Bills vs Packers Odds maker breakdown: Defense

The Bills forced five turnovers out of the Bears, holding them to 225 yards while pressuring Jay Cutler into some poor decisions. The Packers shut out the Browns, picking off three quarterbacks four times. Green Bay showed that the new 3-4 scheme could cause fits for the opposition, and they blitzed more than usual. However, it was against the Browns, a team that isn’t going to get any sportsbook love in 2009.

Betting Edge: Draw

Bills vs Packers Odds maker breakdown: Special Teams

The Bills struggled with punt returns, averaging less than a yard per return, but kicker Rian Lindell continued his brilliant preseason. The Packers’ Mason Crosby missed two of his three field-goal attempts, but Will Blackmon locked himself in as the team’s return man, which is crucial in the game of field position.

Betting Edge: Buffalo

Bills vs Packers Odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries

The Packers have listed linebacker Nick Barnett as questionable with a knee injury, while defensive end Justin Harrell is still bothered by a bad back. However, rookie B.J. Raji signed his contract and should see some time up front in the 3-4 Green Bay defense. Terrell Owens is still questionable with a toe injury that kept him out of the win over Chicago, while safety Bryan Scott may sit this out with a knee injury. Owens needs to get some more reps in before the season starts so sports betting players can have a bit more confidence in the Bills.

Betting Edge: Green Bay

Bills vs Packers betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick

The Bills used to run the no-huddle offense back in their heyday, and they looked amazing against the Bears. However, now they go on the road to Green Bay, where they’re 1-3 all-time. The Packers looked comfortable in the 3-4 defense installed by new coordinator Dom Capers, but they still have some work to do as they’ve ran the 4-3 since 1992. You should also expect to see Green Bay corners Charles Woodson and Al Harris, and if there’s no Owens in the lineup, the front seven will have license to blitz Trent Edwards and company as much as possible. Take the Packers when you’re betting online this weekend.

STAN’S PICK: Green Bay

Stan Simmons first tasted football through the college game, but his football handicapping has strictly focused on the professional sport. Not many people devote as much time to the NFL as Simmons. For six days a week he works, labors and handicaps the sport, and on the seventh he rests as the games play out. Thoughts or questions?



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