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Broncos Bengals Betting Predictions – Bengals, Broncos Seek Fresh Momentum As Season Unfolds

Posted by Tony Bryant on 10/29/2012 7:05:24 PM

The Cincinnati Bengals have squandered a 3-1 start by going into a tailspin. The Denver Broncos have been inconsistent all season long. November needs to feature a concerted playoff push.

Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals – Sunday, November 4    
Betting line: N/A

Why Denver Will Win

The online sports betting legal world has ample reason to like the Broncos in this game, but the argument for Denver begins and ends not with the Broncos themselves. It starts and finishes in Cincinnati's corner.

The Bengals are a mess right now. Quarterback Andy Dalton – whose rookie season was so promising – has run into something of a sophomore slump. Dalton led this team to the playoffs in his maiden NFL voyage by displaying a level of mental toughness that's not particularly common for a first-year player. However, one of the enduring truths of the NFL and its cutthroat climate is that opposing coaches and coordinators make adjustments between seasons. When they get ambushed in one year, opposing coordinators make sure to exploit a player's or team's weaknesses, and in 2012, it's clear that Dalton is not processing or seeing the game as clearly as he did in 2011.

Dalton has been thrown off balance by formations and personnel groupings. He's not demonstrating a whole lot of accuracy with his passes. Aside from his one trusted target, receiver A.J. Green, Dalton has not established a strong rapport with secondary and tertiary options. Unless or until Cincinnati can find a reliable second option at wide receiver – a player that Dalton can regularly trust in big situations – this offense is going to continue to remain stuck in second gear.

What must add to Cincinnati's ever-growing sense of frustration is that the defense – while not exceptional – is generally playing well enough to win. The Bengals' defense prevented the Pittsburgh Steelers from running away with a lopsided win in a Sunday Night Football primetime showcase on Oct. 21. It was only because of the defense that Dalton gained a few additional chances to tie the game in the fourth quarter, but Dalton couldn't take advantage. It would certainly seem to be the case from this vantage point that Denver will win as long as it doesn't turn the ball over.

Why Cincinnati Will Win

Plenty of football betting aficionados will rely on an enduring 2012 trend as they pick the Bengals to win. Denver has simply not shown up in the first quarters of games this season. The Broncos have been sluggish coming out of the gate almost every week. Their offensive and defensive lines have not generated much of a push. Receivers emerge from the tunnel without full clarity or focus, dropping passes or coughing up fumbles. Quarterback Peyton Manning has not been immune to this dynamic, either. Early-game imprecision has been a lasting feature of his 2012 campaign.

The Bengals are a struggling team, but if they get another somnambulant first-quarter performance from Denver, they will be able to jump out to a 10- or 14-point lead and rediscover what it feels like to thrive.

Who Will Win

It’s likely that Denver will not light up the world in the first half, but will Cincinnati be able to take advantage? The Bengals have the look of a team that doesn't believe in itself. Denver should be able to take over in the second half and win.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Denver


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