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2015 NFL Football Betting – Broncos-Chiefs Preview

Posted by Stan Simmons on 9/17/2015 2:32:40 AM

The second week of the NFL season features a prime-time duel on Thursday between the two best teams in the AFC West, the teams that have most centrally competed for the division title over the past couple of seasons.

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs – Thursday, September 17

Betting Line: Chiefs -3

Why The Broncos Will Win

This is a game the Broncos will have a good chance to win, with their defense playing the lead actor this time and not their offense. Denver held the Baltimore Ravens to only 13 points last week, and made an interception in the end zone to seal a six-point victory. The Broncos’ defense has played second fiddle to Peyton Manning’s offense over the years, but this might be the year in which the Broncos must defend at a higher level in order to win. The Broncos did absorb some injuries on defense last season, which clearly did not help them in January against the Indianapolis Colts, but the team needed more from DeMarcus Ware, who never quite broke through and put in the kind of season he had fashioned when with the Dallas Cowboys. Denver definitely needed more of Ware this year, and the Dallas version of him showed up against Baltimore. He was a factor, and he was one primary reason that Joe Flacco never really felt comfortable in the pocket in that game. If Denver can get another really inspired performance from its defense against Kansas City, the Chiefs – who have not been known as a particularly good passing team under quarterback Alex Smith – could get thoroughly outplayed. Denver could very realistically win another game with a score similar to the 19-13 tally it created against Baltimore.

Why The Chiefs Will Win

The reality of the situation isn’t certain, but if you were a betting person, you would find it hard to think that Peyton Manning is going to become the same great quarterback he used to be. It sure seems as though Peyton’s best days are behind him. He was his normal, ridiculously accurate self through the first half of the 2015 season. Then, due to a combination of injuries and other forms of wear and tear (some of which we might not really know about), his game ceased to be potent or intimidating. Manning could not push the ball down the field. He could not make deep or even deep-intermediate throws. A level of hesitancy crept into his playing style. His yards-per-attempt rate plummeted. He became a much more vulnerable and unthreatening embodiment of the quarterback who has probably played the position better than anyone else has – maybe not in the postseason, but from game one through 16 of the regular season, year after year after year. Every regular season Sunday during his career, Manning became as close to automatic as it gets for a quarterback… until the second half of last year. If he is in fact done, and if he’ll never return to being great, the Chiefs should not only win this game; they should hammer Denver.

Who Will Win

The idea that Peyton is finished is something which cannot be taken for granted or presumed as certain. However, it’s just as true that Peyton needs to prove to the critics (and to bettors) that he still has it, that he can still be the quarterback we’ve seen for the past 17 years. Until he proves that, the Chiefs should be given the benefit of the doubt at home.

NFL Football Betting Pick: Chiefs -3


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