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Browns vs Bills odds - Who wants to lay points with the Bills?

Posted by Stan Simmons on 10/8/2009 2:24:56 PM
NFL lineThe Browns vs Bills odds may be one of the most boring, inconsequential games of the young NFL season but even so, every game is worth handicapping. Online betting fans may be better off flipping a coin between these two listless outfits, but in a case where both teams are bad and both have nothing to play for, you might as well take the points.

Browns vs Bills odds: Bills -6

  • WHAT: NFL betting
  • WHEN: Sunday, October 11th – 1:00 PM ET
  • WHERE: Ralph Wilson Stadium – Buffalo, NY
  • KEY STAT: 9-4 ATS in last 13 when facing a team with a losing record
  • PICK: Browns +6, Under 40.5

Browns vs Bills odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
NFL betting fans have the Browns in the conversation among the NFL’s worst teams and there really isn’t much of an argument against that. There are even rumors that new head coach, Eric Mangini, has already lost his team and that he may not last the year. We can only speculate as to whether that’s true or not, but the truth of the matter is that the Browns had a good effort last week against the Cincinnati Bengals. We’ll find out if that was a one-off performance this week.

For Buffalo, the fire watch is on for head coach Dick Jauron. No team has gone from such a high in Week 1 - when the Bills nearly beat the New England Patriots - to such a low after four weeks. The Bills got crushed by a Chad Pennington-less Miami Dolphins and fans in Buffalo know that’s time for a change.

Betting Edge: Even

Browns vs Bills odds maker breakdown: Offense
The Browns offense did show some signs of life last week as Derek Anderson took over the reins, but the team did trade wide receiver Braylon Edwards, which may have a detrimental impact on the offense. The Browns offense was horrible to begin with, so it can’t really get much worse. Sportsbook odds makers will be curious to see how they plan to score points after losing Kellen Winslow Jr. in the offseason, and now Braylon Edwards is gone as well. Jamal Lewis is also banged up.

The Bills offense has also been a disaster. Their offensive line has crumbled and quarterback Trent Edwards has proven to be a sieve. Without a decent pocket passer, the Bills have no threat of a real passing game outside of a couple of shorts here and there. Also, the Bills lack an offensive direction and identity. They still have the better weapons in this game.

Betting Edge: Bills

Browns vs Bills odds maker breakdown: Defense
Both defenses are pathetic at this point, but the Browns have the better parts. Their unit did a fairly decent job of holding down the Cincinnati Bengals last week and they should have another good game against the Bills.

For Buffalo, their secondary is very banged up and their front lines are not generating any pressure. On top of that, their linebacking corps is missing tons of tackles. There really isn’t much more wrong that the Bills defense could be doing at this point.

Betting Edge: Browns

Browns vs Bills odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
The Bills secondary has suffered several injuries. Safety Donte Whitner has a broken thumb, Bryan Scott has a high ankle sprain and backup Jairus Byrd suffered a hip injury last week. The Bills have no healthy safeties. Also, linebacker Paul Posluzny is still out with a broken arm and starting corner Leodis McKelvin.

The Browns are a bit banged up too but they are getting healthier. Jamal Lewis should play in this game, but kicker Phil Dawson is still battling a nagging calf injury.

Betting Edge: Browns

Browns vs Bills odds for total: 40.5
This is a tough total to call. Both offenses are playing poorly right now but neither defense lights the world on fire either. There are better options for betting this week, but if you have to play this total, bet on the Bills offense waking up a bit and the Browns offense having success against a beat up Bills secondary.

Pick: Over 40.5

Browns vs Bills betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
It’s hard to lay any points with the Bills at this point. Not only are they struggling on offense right now, their defense is depleted and they are playing for a lame duck coach. The Browns are a bad team themselves but we can’t lay points with the Bills in any situation right now.

STAN’S PICK: Browns +6

For daily sports betting picks and analysis, check out the Betting Edge. There’s also plenty more numbers on the Browns vs Bills odds in our stats center.

Stan Simmons is one of's NFL experts.



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