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Buccaneers Saints Betting – Saints Avenge Week 6 Loss Against Bucs

Posted by Stan Simmons on 11/1/2011 7:46:51 PM
buccaneers saints betting

Online betting players witnessed New Orleans suffer a major upset in Week 8, but the Saints have a habit of bouncing back in a big way. This week, Tampa Bay comes to town and the Saints will have revenge on their mind after losing to the Bucs in Week 6. New Orleans will protect their homefield and stay atop the NFC South.

What: NFL Betting
When: Sunday, November 6th, 1:00 PM ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Pick: New Orleans Saints -9

Why Bet On Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS)

The Bucs should be well rested after a bye following their 24-18 loss to Chicago in London, England, and it was a typically uneven performance from Tampa Bay, so they will be hoping that the bye week can put them back on the right track. Josh Freeman has been the epitome of the Bucs’ inconsistencies as he is 29th in the league in passer rating in his sophomore season and Tampa Bay needs him to steady the ship if they’re going to keep pace in the NFC South. He has been aided by a strong running game, but LaGarrette Blount and Earnest Graham have both been injured and that puts pressure on Freeman, who was picked off four times against the Bears. The defense hasn’t been great either, ranking 29th in yards allowed and 24th in points allowed. That the Bucs are 4-3 and still in the running in the South is a testament to head coach Raheem Morris and his staff; Tampa Bay has yet to play their best football, and they’re keeping their head above water.

Graham (Achilles) is out for the season, but Blount (knee) should be back after sitting out for two games and three weeks. Other than that, the Bucs should be healthy as they come out of their bye week and they’ll need all hands on deck as the Saints will have plenty of motivation, coming off an upset loss and remember, Tampa Bay won the first meeting 26-20 at home in Week 6, so that is another factor. Not surprisingly, that was Freeman’s best game in terms of rating and one of his two games with no picks.

Why Bet On New Orleans Saints (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS)

NFL betting players saw some upsets in Week 8, but perhaps none was bigger than New Orleans’ 31-21 loss in St. Louis and the offense just couldn’t get going, although the defense didn’t help as the Saints fell into a 24-0 hole. Drew Brees was 30-of-44 for 269 yards and a touchdown, but he was picked off twice and the line couldn’t protect him as St. Louis had six sacks on the day. The running game was abysmal (20 carries, 56 yards), while they couldn’t stop St. Louis on the ground, allowing 183 yards. It isn’t enough to push the panic button as the Saints may have been coming down from their 62-7 thrashing of Indianapolis, and the Rams may have been buoyed by the appearance of the World Series-winning Cardinals, but it was an inefficient performance on both sides of the ball. The Saints can take solace in being the better team in the second half, but they can’t afford to get in many holes like they did against the Rams.

Rookie back Mark Ingram (heel) missed the St. Louis game, and that may worry some New Orleans fans as the former Heisman winner had some injuries at Alabama. Tackle Charles Brown (knee) left the game in the third quarter and didn’t return, so that will be a name to watch on the injury report. But you can expect the Saints to come out with plenty of fire after last week’s game and especially at home, where they have been excellent this season (3-0 SU and ATS).

How It Will Play Out

The Saints are a 9-point NFL betting favorite at home in this divisional showdown, but the Bucs haven’t been afraid to go to the Superdome, going 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Three games have gone over the posted total, although the last two have fallen under the total. Then there is the 26-20 win for the Bucs in Tampa Bay three weeks ago, in which Freeman outplayed Brees, who was picked off three times. This was also the game in which New Orleans coach Sean Payton was injured as he was hit on the sidelines.

Brees won’t get outplayed this time as he’ll bounce back with a solid performance, and the Saints’ defense will get to Freeman, who hasn’t made good decisions for the better part of the season. The Saints realize what is on the line and they can stay ahead of the pack with a victory, and they’ll do it in spectacular fashion. Take New Orleans to cover the sports betting spread at home.

Buccaneers Saints Betting Pick: New Orleans Saints


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