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Chiefs Chargers Betting Tips – Chargers Hope To Avoid A Stumble Against Chiefs

Posted by Tony Bryant on 10/29/2012 7:03:09 PM

The Kansas City Chiefs didn't handle the San Diego Chargers with much of any skill or dexterity the first time these teams met in 2012. Can Kansas City write a different script in the reunion?

Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers – Thursday, November 1  
Online betting line: No line

Why Kansas City Will Win

In much the same way that an online poker game is often out of a player's hands, the Chiefs know that their best chance of winning this Thursday Night Football special lies not in their hands, but in the hands of their opponent. The Chargers are a team that has played down to the level of its competition over the past two and a half seasons. San Diego is a team that has squandered considerable talent and all the advantages that are part of competing in the AFC West, one of the weakest divisions in the NFL in recent years. Denver, Oakland, and Kansas City have rarely made the second weekend of the playoffs over the past half-decade in professional football, limited by their respective offenses and constrained by dysfunctional front-office environments that did not assemble the best collections of talent.

San Diego ruled the roost in this division through the 2009 season and seemed primed for yet more years of dominance. However, that just hasn't materialized. San Diego whiffed on the playoffs in 2010 and 2011, as head coach Norv Turner could not get his players to concentrate in crunch-time moments. Quarterback Philip Rivers has plainly regressed, showing little of the form that made him one of the NFL's most feared quarterbacks in his 2006-2009 peak years. The offensive line has been hit hard by injuries, but with all the skill the Chargers have at tight end (Antonio Gates) and the other pass-catching positions, they should have been able to win 10 games in both 2010 and 2011, given the level of opposition they had to deal with.

San Diego's failures have amazingly not cost Turner his job, a fact that points more deeply to the waywardness of the Chargers – not as a team, but as an organization and as a business. There are no leaders in the room right now. The Spanos family, which owns the team, has allowed general manager A.J. Smith to keep Turner on board. This is the same A.J. Smith who fired former coach Marty Schottenheimer (replacing him with Turner) after a 14-2 masterstroke of a season in 2006. The stubbornness of Smith, which is allowing Turner to remain in power, is taking down this organization and causing yet another season to go to waste. The Chiefs could very realistically step into this situation, shut down the Chargers' flailing (and failing) offense, and walk out of Southern California with a win on Thursday.

Why San Diego Will Win

When NFL betting commentators look at this game, they will put the Chargers' shortcomings in perspective. For all the ways in which they have underachieved since 2009, the Chargers are still a lot better than the Chiefs. Just about every NFL team is better than the Chiefs, with Jacksonville and Cleveland being the only realistic exceptions at this point. (The Jaguars and Browns are not necessarily worse than Kansas City; they're merely on the same level as the Chiefs.)

Kansas City's team architect, general manager Scott Pioli, has openly admitted that he has made mistakes in assembling the various pieces of an unfinished and incomplete puzzle. The Chiefs have been puzzled in the front office, and they've thrown away the momentum they generated as an organization in 2010, when they won the AFC West title. Kansas City displays few of the good habits it exhibited in 2010. A competent passing attack is a wild fantasy, something far removed from reality. The team's offense has no spark, no energy, no play-calling brilliance to shake loose good results from week to week. The Chargers are not playing well right now, but they should be able to hold down the Chiefs and grind out a 20-10 kind of decision.

Who Will Win

It's not hard to see that Kansas City is in a state of free-fall. The Chargers are not a healthy team by any measure; San Diego has a lot of problems that are going to be exposed by other teams… just not the Chiefs. Take the Chargers on Thursday.

NFL Football Betting Pick: San Diego


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