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Colts Patriots Betting – Colts Get Better Of Tired Patriots In New England

Posted by Stan Simmons on 11/15/2010 2:09:22 PM
colts patriots betting
  • What: NFL betting
  • When: Sunday, November 21st, 4:15 PM ET
  • Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MS
  • Pick: Indianapolis Colts

Sports betting players could be treated to another classic in the New England Patriots -Indianapolis Colts rivalry when the Colts visit Foxborough on Sunday, and as usual, it’s all about the star quarterbacks in this one. With both defenses showing they can’t be trusted, it could be a high-scoring affair, but we’re betting on a bit of a letdown from the Patriots after a big win last week.

What’s On The Line

The Colts (6-3) didn’t even need a big day from Peyton Manning in a 23-17 win over the Cincinnati Bengals at home, as their inconsistent defense carried them. The Patriots (7-2) now have the best record in the AFC after a muscle-flexing 39-26 win at the Pittsburgh Steelers, and they’ve re-established themselves as the team to beat in the conference. This is Week 10’s marquee matchup, as the Colts and Patriots have been near or at the top of the AFC for the last decade, so there is a lot on the line in New England.

Offensive Matchups: Colts Patriots Betting

Manning was only 20-of-36 for 185 yards and he was held without a touchdown for the second time this year, and of course, the Colts barely ran the ball. But the Colts’ offense was efficient as they always are and didn’t make the mistakes that Cincinnati made to cost them the game. It just doesn’t seem to matter who the Colts lose, Manning rules the unit with an iron fist and they just keep on going. It wasn’t a massive performance from the league’s No.3 offense, but it was good enough.

On the other hand, Tom Brady was a man possessed on Sunday night, going 30-of-43 for 350 yards and three touchdowns as the Patriots racked up 453 yards. Brady even ran for a score for the Patriots, who had 103 yards on the ground, but they picked apart a Pittsburgh defense that many think is the best in the league with short passes, and then they went long on them. The New England defense was due to break out eventually, but against Pittsburgh? It was quite a performance.

Betting Edge: Indianapolis

Defensive Matchups: Colts Patriots Betting

The Colts just kept taking advantage of Cincinnati’s mistakes, coming up with five turnovers (including three picks) and returning one of them for a touchdown. But Indianapolis’ defense is largely inconsistent and you have no idea which unit is going to show up from week to week. It was an admirable effort, especially without starting linebackers Gary Brackett and Clint Sessions, but the Colts came together as a team. But they can’t count on Brady to make the mistakes that Carson Palmer did; that simply won’t happen.

New England’s defense is in the same boat as Indianapolis, as they can look great in one game, and then terrible in the next. But they usually step up against other big teams, and Sunday night was no exception as they sacked Ben Roethlisberger five times and generally had the Steelers confused until they broke out for 23 points in the fourth quarter. There were the problem lies for the Patriots: they’re still young on this side of the ball and they’ll have to learn that you can’t take your foot off the gas in the NFL.

Betting Edge: Draw

Notable Injuries: Colts Patriots Betting

The Colts had a long list of inactive players before the Cincinnati game: Brackett (toe), Sessions (elbow), receivers Blair White (shoulder) and Austin Collie (concussion), running backs Joseph Addai (neck) and Mike Hart (ankle), safety Bob Sanders (triceps) and cornerback Justin Tryon (foot) were all out, and will have to be watched this week.

The Patriots managed to make it out of Pittsburgh healthy, but still, watch the injury reports that come out on Wednesday.

strong>Betting Edge: Colts

Outlook and Pick: Colts Patriots Betting

NFL betting odds will likely favor the Patriots at home, where they are 4-0 so far this season. This rivalry started out all New England, who won the first four of a four-game stretch, but since then, the Colts have won five of six, including two in a row in New England. This could turn into a shootout as neither defense can really be counted on, and neither of these quarterbacks are the type to throw three or four picks, so they’re going to have to get a pass rush going. In 15 games against the Patriots, Manning has a passer rating of 89.3 with 32 touchdowns and 20 picks, while Brady has a 96.7 rating in eight games to go with 17 scores and 10 picks. Seven of the last 10 have been decided by a touchdown or less, so don’t expect a blowout. This is far too close to call, and it’s going to come down to some sort of mistake. But we’re giving the edge to Manning and the Colts on the road as New England are coming off two tough road games at the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh, while the Colts were handed last week’s game. Take Indy for the online betting upset.

Stan’s Pick: Indianapolis Colts


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